MT-01 House election: Aaron Flint vote percent

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $1.2K traded · $1.2K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

Embed

The odds

48.85%median
42%62%
Median 48.85%Middle half 48.22% – 49.48%

How the odds have moved

Median: 48.99% on Oct 19, 48.85% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 44% 84% $1.20 200
At least 46% 84% $1.20 400
At least 48% 84% 97¢ $1.03 700
At least 50% 4% 25¢ $4.00 1.7K
At least 52% 4% ▼ 1 10¢ $10.00 94.00
At least 54% 4% ▲ 3 10¢ $10.00 1.2K
At least 56% 4% 10¢ $10.00
At least 58% 4% 10¢ $10.00
At least 60% 4% 10¢ $10.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: MT- House, Aaron Flint

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  • Updated election results show slimmer margin in MT house raceDaily Montanan · 5 days ago🇺🇸 Election news from around the country READ MORE Race for Montana’s remains uncalled, Flint conceded Tuesday night Scenes from the a watch party for Sam Forstag, Democratic candidate for Montana’s western congressional district, for the…
  • Letter to the editor: Vote for Aaron FlintThe Independent Record · 7 days agoThe Independent Record Javascript is required to use this website. When your well stops working or your heat goes out in January, you need someone who knows how to fix it. Our communities depend on skilled workers, and we need to prepare…
  • Democrats poised to pick up 2 seats in MT House, Senate; GOP says it could’ve been worseMontana Standard · 4 days agoRepublicans in the Montana Legislature weathered this week’s national blue wave, holding onto a majority in both chambers even as voters sent the state’s first Democrat to the U.S. House in 30 years, soundly rejected the party’s preferred…
  • Our Montana way of life is worth fighting for | Aaron FlintThe Missoulian · 7 days agoTo submit a letter, go to https://go.mtstandard.com/letters or email us at [email protected] Javascript is required to use this website. Montana has given me everything worth fighting for. I was raised in the Flathead and Glasgow, and…
  • AI PACs spent millions trying to shape Congress. Here's how they fared.TechCrunch · 5 days agoFounder Summit begins Nov. 4, 9:00 a.m. ET. Get your pass savings & deals before it starts. REGISTER HERE. Political groups both supporting and opposing the AI industry spent millions of dollars trying to influence Tuesday’s midterm…
  • Montana live results: 2026 House electionsThe Hill · 6 days agoThe Hill by The Hill Staff 11/03/26 12:00 PM ET Voters in western Montana are set to choose their next member of Congress after Rep. Ryan Zinke (R) announced he would not seek reelection. Republican Aaron Flint and Democrat Sam Forstag are…
  • Montana 2026 election resultsCNN · 7 days agoCNN Montana 2026 election results Live results: Montana Senate Follow live results in the Montana Senate race, county by county, as votes are counted on election night. Senate results by county Live results: Montana House Democrat Sam…
  • Sam Forstag takes Montana 1st Congressional District House seatNonStop Local Billings · 5 days agoNonStop Local Billings Democrat Sam Forstag is headed to the U.S. House of Representatives to represent Montana after winning 51% of the vote. Republican Aaron Flint conceded to the Forstag campaign on Tuesday night. HELENA, Mont. - Sam…
  • AP: Forstag wins election to U.S. House in Montana's 1st Congressional DistrictKECI · 4 days agoNBC Montana Democrat Sam Forstag wins election to U.S Democratic candidate Sam Forstag celebrated an early victory in the close race for Montana’s U.S House District 1 seat after preliminary results showed him taking the lead over…
  • Red state, blue wave: How political analysts are reading Montana’s midterm resultsThe Independent Record · 5 days agoEditor’s note: This story was published with 85.58% of precincts fully reported on Wednesday evening. Each race has been called, but final tallies may change. Both candidates ran on a populist, working-class persona they argued would best…
  • Flint takes defeat in stride, ‘thankful’ amid Forstag victory: Result a referendum on Iran, gas pricesBozeman Daily Chronicle · 5 days agoMontana 1st Congressional District candidate Aaron Flint greets members of the crowd at a rally attended by Vice President JD Vance in Belgrade on Monday. Midnight midterm election revelations: Republican Kurt Alme secures a decisive win…
  • AP makes Montana race call for ForstagDaily Montanan · 4 days agoCall came more than 36 hours after polls closed ELECTION NEWS AROUND THE COUNTRY by Micah Drew, Daily Montanan November 5, 2026 Democrat Sam Forstag is Montana’s newest congressman-elect — officially. Forstag declared victory just before…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions