Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
MT-01 House election: Sam Forstag vote percent
The odds
51.08%median
40%58%
Median 51.08%Middle half 50.5% – 51.65%
How the odds have moved
Median: 46.9% on Oct 19, 51.08% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 42% | 99% | 89¢ | $1.01 | 1.9K | ||
| At least 44% | 98% | $1.02 | 2.4K | |||
| At least 46% | 98% | 97¢ | $1.02 | 2.6K | ||
| At least 47% | 97% | $1.03 | 927 | |||
| At least 48% | 97% | 84¢ | $1.03 | 2.0K | ||
| At least 50% | 97% | ▲ 6 | 96¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 6.6K |
| At least 52% | 10% | $10.00 | 740 | |||
| At least 54% | 10% | 41¢ | $2.44 | 1.0K | ||
| At least 56% | 1% | 30¢ | $3.33 | 151 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MT- House, Sam Forstag
Search ›- Democrat Sam Forstag wins election to U.S. House in Montana's 1st Congressional DistrictNewsChannel20 Mass shooting in Bloomington leaves teen dead, 7 others injured Investigation underway after shots fired at Springfield barbershop Governor Pritzker wins reelection for Illinois, according to AP Man who died in motor-vehicle…
- Democrat Sam Forstag wins Montana's western district U.S. House seatLong before all the votes were counted in the race for Montana’s western House district, both candidates agreed the race was over. As Democrat Sam Forstag waited for the last batch of ballots to roll in last night, the crowd interrupted…
- Sam Forstag takes Montana 1st Congressional District House seatNonStop Local Billings Democrat Sam Forstag is headed to the U.S. House of Representatives to represent Montana after winning 51% of the vote. Republican Aaron Flint conceded to the Forstag campaign on Tuesday night. HELENA, Mont. - Sam…
- NFFE Smokejumper, Union Leader Sam Forstag Wins Historic House Race in MontanaNational Federation of Federal Employees NFFE Smokejumper, Union Leader Sam Forstag Wins Historic House Race in Montana Missoula, MT – The National Federation of Federal Employees (NFFE-IAM) proudly congratulates smokejumper and former…
- DNC Congratulates Sam Forstag on His Election to the U.S. House of RepresentativesIn response to Sam Forstag’s election to the U.S. House of Representatives, DNC Chair Ken Martin released the following statement: “Congratulations to Sam Forstag, the Montana Democratic Party, and all of the organizers who worked…
- WATCH FULL: Democrat Sam Forstag declares victory in Montana U.S. house raceKBZK News WATCH FULL: Democrat Sam Forstag declares victory in Montana U.S. house race
- Democrat Sam Forstag claims victory over Flint in Western House flipIn an apparently historic win, Democrat Sam Forstag claimed victory over Republican challenger Aaron Flint in the highly competitive Western U.S. House District race late Tuesday evening. It’s the first time in more than 30 years that…
- Photos: Sam Forstag 2026 midterm election watch partyThe Missoulian Javascript is required to use this website. Scenes from the a watch party for Sam Forstag, Democratic candidate for Montanaâs western congressional district, for the 2026 midterm election at the Florence Building in…
- Democrat Sam Forstag Declares Victory in Montana’s Western U.S. House RaceThe Missoula smokejumper and union leader would be the first Democrat Montanans have sent to the U.S. House in three decades; Republican Aaron Flint conceded around midnight For the first time in three decades, Montanans on Tuesday elected…
- Updated election results show slimmer margin in MT house race🇺🇸 Election news from around the country READ MORE Race for Montana’s remains uncalled, Flint conceded Tuesday night Scenes from the a watch party for Sam Forstag, Democratic candidate for Montana’s western congressional district, for the…
- Democrats poised to pick up 2 seats in MT House, Senate; GOP says it could’ve been worseRepublicans in the Montana Legislature weathered this week’s national blue wave, holding onto a majority in both chambers even as voters sent the state’s first Democrat to the U.S. House in 30 years, soundly rejected the party’s preferred…
- Smokejumper flips Montana house seat held by GOP for three decadesUnion leader and former wildland firefighter Sam Forstag has won a House seat in Montana that Republicans have held for three decades. Smokejumper flips Montana house seat held by GOP for three decades Union leader and former wildland…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions