Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
NM-02 House election: Gabe Vasquez vote percent
The odds
58.74%median
48%62%
Median 58.74%Middle half 58.07% – 59.41%
How the odds have moved
Median: 55.56% on Oct 20, 58.74% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 87% | $1.15 | 2.6K | |||
| At least 52% | 87% | $1.15 | 107 | |||
| At least 54% | 78% | $1.29 | 29.00 | |||
| At least 58% | 78% | $1.29 | 29.00 | |||
| At least 60% | 3% | $33.33 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NM- House, Gabe Vasquez
Search ›- Gabe Vasquez Declared Winner in New Mexico???s 2nd District RaceIncumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez led Republican challenger Greg Cunningham in New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District, according to unofficial results released an hour after polls closed. The closely watched race featured Vasquez’s record…
- Democratic Incumbent Gabe Vasquez seeks third term in Congressional District 2 raceLAS CRUCES, N.M. (KRQE) — We’re keeping a close eye on the race for New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District. Democratic Incumbent Gabe Vasquez is hoping to fight off a challenge from Republican Candidate Greg Cunningham. In Las Cruces…
- Meet the congressional candidates: Gabe Vasquez (D) District 2KOB 4 extended 2 minutes of free airtime to each candidate seeking federal office in 2026. This is the message from Democratic representative Gabe Vasquez. KOB 4 extended 2 minutes of free airtime to each candidate seeking federal office…
- Gabe Vasquez says he would work on fixing immigration reform and Iran War costs if re-electedIn this year’s election, New Mexico’s Second Congressional House District is one of the most closely watched in the nation - in 2024 the district voted for Donald Trump but elected Democrat Gabe Vasquez to Congress. Republicans eye it as a…
- Gabe VasquezCongressional Public Lands Score / New Mexico / Gabe Vasquez Democrat · U.S. House · New Mexico, District 2 Scored 90% or higher. Bill writing mining permanently into the FAST-41 fast track and barring the Permitting Council from limiting…
- Democratic Party Wins Big in Midterms as Anti-AI Forces Rise; Newly Elected Lawmaker Ansari and Musk Trade BarbsAfter the Democratic Party's landslide victory in the U.S. midterm elections, anti-AI sentiment has rapidly intensified. Yassamin Ansari, a newly elected U.S. Representative from Arizona, has called for a pause on advanced AI development…
- Democrats Pile On Datacenter Freeze After MidtermsCalls to halt new datacenter construction are gaining force inside the Democratic Party after a sweeping election night that sent more critics of Big Tech into office and sharpened the political pressure around artificial intelligence…
- 42 Very, Very Hot Democratic Men Who Just Won Their Elections, Because Apparently That’s A Thing NowMeet 42 attractive Democratic men who recently won their elections. A fun look at rising political stars making waves across the country. When I was 14, MTV came to my house because I was one of Britney Spears' biggest fans. In case you…
- Latino voters swing left in midterm elections, lifting Democrats to big wins in Texas and nationwideBy VALERIE GONZALEZ, MIKE CATALINI and JONATHAN J. COOPER It’s a remarkable pivot for a demographic that had shifted toward President Donald Trump just two years ago. “We showed our power and flexed our muscle during this election,” said…
- Latino voters propel Democrats to big wins with leftward swingIt's a remarkable pivot for a demographic that had shifted toward President Donald Trump just two years ago. "We showed our power and flexed our muscle during this election," said Democratic Rep. Gabe Vasquez, who won his battleground…
- Latino voters swing left in midterms, lifting Dems to big wins in TX & nationwideGovernor-elect Gina Hinojosa is scheduled to hold her first press conference since her historic victory on election night. NBC 5’s Larry Collins tells us more. Latino voters moved sharply to the left in the midterm elections, propelling…
- U.S. Rep Vasquez announces birth of a sonU.S. Rep. Gabe Vasquez and fiancée Nikki Santos welcome a healthy baby boy just before Election Day, as Vasquez faces a tight New Mexico race. U.S. Rep Vasquez announces birth of a son U.S. Rep. Gabe Vasquez became a father just days…
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Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions