Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
NY-17 House election: Cait Conley vote percent
The odds
53.05%median
42%60%
Median 53.05%Middle half 52.18% – 53.93%
How the odds have moved
Median: 49.95% on Oct 20, 53.05% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 99% | 67¢ | $1.01 | 5.0K | ||
| At least 46% | 99% | 67¢ | $1.01 | 1.2K | ||
| At least 48% | 99% | 67¢ | $1.01 | 10.3K | ||
| At least 50% | 94% | 67¢ | $1.06 | 21.7K | ||
| At least 52% | 80% | ▼ 17 | 80¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 4.3K |
| At least 54% | 23% | $4.35 | 21.00 | |||
| At least 56% | 15% | 37¢ | $2.70 | 200 | ||
| At least 58% | 2% | 22¢ | $4.55 | 2.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Cait Conley
Search ›- GOP Rep. Mike Lawler concedes to Cait Conley in hotly-contested NY House raceDemocrat Cait Conley won the hotly contested race for New York’s 17th Congressional District — knocking out incumbent Rep. Mike Lawler in a critical blow for Republicans. Conley, 41, took the race Tuesday by 7 points, winning 53.3% of the…
- New York State AFL-CIO President Mario Cilento Congratulates Cait Conley, Thanks Members for Getting Out the VoteAlbany, NY - “Working people were energized and engaged throughout this election season, and tonight’s victory for Cait Conley, elected to represent New York’s 17th Congressional District, demonstrates the extraordinary power of union…
- RAW: NY: HOUSE WINNER / CAIT CONLEYLocal 3 News Showers in the Vicinity Light Rain with Thunder Gusty winds, heavy rain, and isolated severe storms are possible today Democrat Cait Conley defeats Republican Rep. Mike Lawler in New York's 17th district race Man in hospital…
- Cait Conley Flips New York Seat Held by Trump Ally Mike LawlerCait Conley has delivered Democrats one of their biggest House wins of the cycle, unseating Republican Rep. Mike Lawler in a suburban New York district that was a central goal... Cait Conley Flips New York Seat Held by Trump Ally Mike…
- Cait Conley says she's "not going to accept the status quo" after House victoryCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Cait Conley on…
- Democrat Cait Conley wins election to U.S. House in New York's 17th Congressional DistrictDaily Jefferson County Union There was a problem reporting this. Keep it Clean. Please avoid obscene, vulgar, lewd, racist or sexually-oriented language.
- Cait Conley addresses supporters after Rep. Mike Lawler concedes NY-17 raceCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change Cait Conley addresses supporters after Rep. Mike Lawler concedes NY-17 race Lawler concedes to Conley in NY-17 race | 2026…
- DNC Congratulates Cait Conley on Her Election to the U.S. House of RepresentativesIn response to Cait Conley’s election to the U.S. House of Representatives, DNC Chair Ken Martin released the following statement: “Congratulations to Cait Conley, the New York Democratic Party, and all of the organizers who worked around…
- Westchester County Executive Ken Jenkins on the 2026 Election of Cait Conley in NY-17From County Executive Ken Jenkins: Voters came out in force on Tuesday, and a blue wave helped carry Cait over the finish line in NY-17. I’m proud to have stood with her throughout her race, and I know she’ll lead in Congress and move…
- Lesbian combat veteran Cait Conley unseats Republican Mike Lawler in New York U.S. House raceThe victory adds to Democrats' decisive midterm wave of victories. Cait Conley, who is challenging U.S. Representative Mike Lawler to represent New York’s 17th Congressional District, speaks to supporters on September 16, 2026, in…
- Did Mike Lawler Win Tonight? Rockland County Election Results -Lawler Concedes in NY House Swing District to Democratic Newcomer Cait Conley Amid Westchester Balloting ComplicationsNEW YORK — Republican Representative Mike Lawler has conceded defeat in New York’s high-stakes 17th Congressional District, acknowledging that Democratic challenger Cait Conley has captured the crucial Hudson Valley swing seat. Despite…
- 2026 New York midterm election results including Gov. Kathy Hochul vs. Blakeman, Rep. Mike Lawler vs. Cait ConleyNovember 3, 2026 / 8:45 PM EST / CBS New York New York is home to several high-profile, closely watched elections. Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul is facing a challenge from Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman. New York Attorney…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions