Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
NY-17 House election: Mike Lawler vote percent
The odds
46.81%median
36%56%
Median 46.81%Middle half 45.2% – 47.87%
How the odds have moved
Median: 48.59% on Oct 20, 46.81% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 99% | 60¢ | $1.01 | 91.00 | ||
| At least 44% | 84% | $1.19 | 1.2K | |||
| At least 46% | 69% | $1.45 | 366 | |||
| At least 48% | 22% | 23¢ | $4.35 | 876 | ||
| At least 50% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 10.4K | ||
| At least 52% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 3.1K | ||
| At least 54% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 5.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Mike Lawler
Search ›- GOP Rep. Mike Lawler concedes to Cait Conley in hotly-contested NY House raceDemocrat Cait Conley won the hotly contested race for New York’s 17th Congressional District — knocking out incumbent Rep. Mike Lawler in a critical blow for Republicans. Conley, 41, took the race Tuesday by 7 points, winning 53.3% of the…
- GOP Rep. Mike Lawler defeated in New York battleground districtUpdated on: November 5, 2026 / 6:19 PM EST / CBS News Washington — Democrat Cait Conley defeated two-term Republican Rep. Mike Lawler, winning a highly competitive seat in New York's Hudson Valley region, CBS News projected. Lawler's loss…
- Ex-Biden official projected to win bid to unseat Mike Lawler in high-stakes House raceRep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in the race for New York’s 17th Congressional District. A former Biden administration aide is projected to defeat Rep…
- Battered NY GOP members turn ire on party boss — with ousted Rep. Mike Lawler floated as replacementBattered New York Republicans are calling to oust the longtime state party boss in the aftermath of Democrats’ Election Day romp — with some suggesting an outgoing congressman could be the new man for the job. State Party Chairman Ed Cox…
- Cait Conley addresses supporters after Rep. Mike Lawler concedes NY-17 raceCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change Cait Conley addresses supporters after Rep. Mike Lawler concedes NY-17 race Lawler concedes to Conley in NY-17 race | 2026…
- Mike Lawler defends his record amid battle for control of HouseFox News Mike Lawler defends his record amid battle for control of House Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., pushes back on Fox News Power Rankings favoring his Democratic opponent, defending his record on taxes and immigration. Rep. Mike Lawler…
- Mike Lawler slams Hakeem Jeffries over progressive agendaFox News Mike Lawler slams Hakeem Jeffries over progressive agenda Rep. Mike Lawler joins Brian Kilmeade to slam Hakeem Jeffries and progressive Democrats. Lawler argues that progressives like AOC and Bernie Sanders are driving the party's…
- Did Mike Lawler Win Tonight? Rockland County Election Results -Lawler Concedes in NY House Swing District to Democratic Newcomer Cait Conley Amid Westchester Balloting ComplicationsNEW YORK — Republican Representative Mike Lawler has conceded defeat in New York’s high-stakes 17th Congressional District, acknowledging that Democratic challenger Cait Conley has captured the crucial Hudson Valley swing seat. Despite…
- 2026 New York midterm election results including Gov. Kathy Hochul vs. Blakeman, Rep. Mike Lawler vs. Cait ConleyNovember 3, 2026 / 8:45 PM EST / CBS New York New York is home to several high-profile, closely watched elections. Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul is facing a challenge from Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman. New York Attorney…
- GOP Rep. Mike Lawler tells Westchester County, NY voters 'do not leave the line' and assures them their vote will be countedCNN GOP Rep. Mike Lawler tells Westchester County, NY voters ‘do not leave the line’ and assures them their vote will be counted GOP Rep. Mike Lawler urges Westchester County, NY voters to wait in line as voting machines are unable to…
- NY Rep. Mike Lawler loses re-election in blue wave — despite swell of support from large bloc of Orthodox Jewish votersRepublican New York Rep. Michael Lawler lost to Democratic rival Cait Conley in Tuesday’s blue tsunami despite carrying the large bloc of Orthodox Jewish voters in the Hudson Valley’s 17th district, sources said. The two-term congressman…
- Key NY House race thrown into chaos over bizarre issue with voting ballot ‘thickness’A highly contentious New York State race under watch by the entire nation has been plunged into chaos over voting ballot “thickness” — an issue that could mean the winner won’t be known for days. Ballot machines were rejecting the paper…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions