Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
VA-02 House election: Jen Kiggans vote percent
The odds
44.58%median
38%54%
Median 44.58%Middle half 42.25% – 45.88%
How the odds have moved
Median: 46.03% on Oct 21, 44.58% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 90% | $1.11 | 286 | |||
| At least 42% | 77% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 594 | ||
| At least 44% | 61% | 91¢ | $1.10 | 245 | ||
| At least 46% | 23% | $4.40 | 317 | |||
| At least 48% | 23% | 29¢ | $3.45 | 366 | ||
| At least 50% | 23% | 43¢ | $2.33 | 495 | ||
| At least 52% | 23% | $4.40 | 207 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Jen Kiggans
Search ›- Jen Kiggans joined by former Gov. Youngkin and House Speaker Mike Johnson at rallyVIRGINIA BEACH, Va. (WAVY) — Preparations and rallies were happening up until the very last minute, especially those vying for the 2nd Congressional District in the Virginia House of Representatives, as incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans was…
- VA House District 20 Special Election Results: Vasquez Luna vs. Fritzen [Live Updates]PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY, VA —Polls have officially closed across Virginia, and election officials are tabulating ballots cast in Tuesday's general election. Results from races statewide are expected to be reported throughout the evening…
- Democrat Elaine Luria Defeats Incumbent in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional DistrictLuria served two terms in the House before losing to Republican Jen Kiggans in 2022. Luria served two terms in the House before losing to Republican Jen Kiggans in 2022. Congressional candidate Elaine Luria, D-Va., takes the stage during a…
- Elaine Luria looks ahead to return to Congress after winning Virginia’s 2nd DistrictVIRGINIA BEACH, Va. — Congresswoman-elect Elaine Luria says affordability, health care and pushing back on tariffs will be among her priorities when she returns to Washington in January. Luria sat down with News 3 at Commonwealth Brewing…
- Democrats gain two Virginia House seats as final races called(The Center Square) – Democrats gained two seats in Virginia’s U.S. House of Representatives delegation as Shannon Taylor unseated Republican Rob Wittman and Republican John McGuire narrowly won reelection against Democrat Tom Perriello…
- Percentage of veterans serving in incoming congressional class drops to 15%At least 57 veterans will serve in the 120th Congress, and another 20 are in races too close to call, with several veterans vying for another seat, according to an analysis by Military Times. But even if all veterans win their seats in the…
- How each Virginia congressional district shifted leftby Andrew Kerley, Politics & Policy Reporter While the Virginia GOP saved one of its competitive seats amid the blue tsunami that swept America on Tuesday, every congressional district in the state still swung left since the last election…
- Luria flips Virginia House seat; two races remain uncalledThe Black Chronicle (The Center Square) – Democrats picked up a Virginia congressional seat Tuesday as former U.S. Rep. Elaine Luria defeated Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans, while two other closely watched races remained unresolved early…
- Turns Out, Dangling Amnesty In Front Of Illegals Won’t Win Over Minorities To The Republican PartyRep. Maria Elvira Salazar had a plan to keep Republicans winning elections: offer amnesty to illegal aliens. Well, eight Republicans who co-sponsored her legislation to do just that might want a word with her. Eight republicans who…
- Luria defeats Kiggans to return to the House of RepresentativesDemocrat Elaine Luria has defeated Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans in Virginia’s Second Congressional District race, according to unofficial election returns. Luria, a former Navy commander who previously represented the district in…
- Democrat Elaine Luria Flips Virginia's Second DistrictDemocrat Elaine Luria has won the House race in Virginia’s Second District over Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans, giving Democrats another win as they continue to post gains from around the country. Democrat Elaine Luria Flips Virginia's…
- Elaine Luria declares her victory, wins back 2nd District seatVIRGINIA BEACH, Va. — Democrat Elaine Luria has declared her victory in the race to represent Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District. Luria previously represented the 2nd District in the House of Representatives from 2019 to 2023. She beat…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions