Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
WA-03 House election: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez vote percent
The odds
51.59%median
44%64%
Median 51.59%Middle half 50.62% – 54.92%
How the odds have moved
Median: 53.33% on Oct 19, 51.59% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 99% | 57¢ | $1.01 | 160 | ||
| At least 48% | 98% | 71¢ | $1.02 | 400 | ||
| At least 50% | 91% | $1.10 | 125 | |||
| At least 52% | 40% | $2.53 | 604 | |||
| At least 54% | 40% | $2.53 | 363 | |||
| At least 56% | 8% | $12.50 | 200 | |||
| At least 60% | 4% | $25.00 | 600 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, WA- House
Search ›- Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez wins reelection in competitive Washington raceNovember 5, 2026 / 2:22 PM EST / CBS News Washington — Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez won a third term in Washington's 3rd Congressional District, CBS News projected. Gluesenkamp Perez's victory, in a district President Trump has…
- Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez defeats John Braun in Washington swing districtShare on Facebook Share on Twitter Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez defeats John Braun in Washington swing district Up to $1 million consultant contract planned to study covering I-5 in North Seattle WIAA says girls’ sports protections…
- Incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) defeated John Braun (R) in the general election for Washington's 3rd Congressional Districton November 3, 2026. Perez was first elected in 2022, defeating Joe Kent (R) 50.1%–49.3%. In 2024, Perez defeated Kent 51.7%–47.9% and President Donald Trump (R) defeated Kamala Harris (D) 50.3%–47.0% in the 3rd District. The 3rd District…
- Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez Defeats Republican John Braun in Washington’s 3rd DistrictContinuing a disappointing Tuesday night for Republicans, incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez decisively defeated John Braun in Washington’s 3rd Congressional District, a House race that was expected to be close. Democrat Marie…
- Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez Wins Swing House Race in WashingtonRep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D-Wash.) has won her race to keep her seat in Washington state’s Third Congressional District. At her election night party, Perez declared victory based on early counting. She led chants of “USA!” and told…
- Baumgartner widens lead in Eastern WA House raceThe Seattle Times
- Marie Gluesenkamp Perez takes early lead over John Braun in WA's 3rd districtVANCOUVER, Wash. - With the balance of power in the U.S. House of Representatives on the line, national attention is focused on southwest Washington as incumbent Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces a challenge from Republican…
- Blue wave carries Democrats to supermajority in WA HouseDemocrats in the Washington state House of Representatives are eyeing a supermajority as Thursday vote tallies put them on course to unseat a half-dozen incumbent Republicans and flip a GOP-held seat in the Puget Sound. Those seven…
- You Can Now Walk 3,000 Miles Across US Without Leaving Democratic TerritoryNov 06, 2026 at 04:45 PM EST Two years after Republicans made historic gains along the U.S.-Mexico border, a person can now walk from Canada to the Gulf of Mexico without ever leaving a Democratic congressional district. The route starts…
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
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Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions