Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
AL-02 House election: Shomari Figures vote percent
The odds
52.88%median
38%58%
Median 52.88%Middle half 52.15% – 53.62%
How the odds have moved
Median: 47.27% on Oct 20, 52.88% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 99% | 60¢ | $1.01 | 5.5K | ||
| At least 42% | 99% | 60¢ | $1.01 | 1.2K | ||
| At least 44% | 98% | 17¢ | $1.03 | 361 | ||
| At least 46% | 98% | 20¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.4K | |
| At least 48% | 96% | 17¢ | $1.04 | 1.2K | ||
| At least 50% | 96% | 31¢ | $1.04 | 6.2K | ||
| At least 52% | 80% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.2K | ||
| At least 54% | 12% | $8.33 | 563 | |||
| At least 56% | 2% | 20¢ | $5.00 | 333 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AL- House, Shomari Figures
Search ›- Shomari Figures voted against $141.4 million for Fort Rucker, Maxwell Air Force Base improvementsIf a military project has been federally funded the past two years, it’s likely Congressman Shomari Figures (D-Mobile) voted against it. On Wednesday, Yellowhammer News reported on yet more funding Figures took credit for after voting…
- ‘Go Figure’: More examples discovered of Shomari Figures taking credit for funding he voted againstIf this congressional campaign was a baseball game, Congressman Shomari Figures (D-Mobile) would’ve just struck out. For the third time in recent weeks, Yellowhammer News has discovered irrefutable evidence that Figures voted against…
- Democratic leaders enter the midterms ‘confident and paranoid’No part of a rolling, decadelong existential crisis is ever easy, even when things seem on the cusp of going well — and especially when Democrats have had their hopes raised and dashed so many times. “It’s a little bit of deja vu,” said…
- Election 2026 Congress AlabamaIn this photo taken with a smartphone Rep. Shomari Figures, D-Ala., speaks to Jo Ellen Simmons at the Boll Weevil festival in Enterprise, Ala., on Saturday, Oct. 17, 2026. (AP ... Alabama Republicans thought they had drawn a safe US House…
- President Trump doubles down on Rhett Marques, brands Shomari Figures ‘Reckless, Radical, and Dangerous’President Donald Trump went all in for State Rep. Rhett Marques (R-Enterprise) on Monday, renewing his “Complete and Total Endorsement” in Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District and turning his fire on U.S. Rep. Shomari Figures (D-Mobile)…
- Republicans Won’t Help Americans with CostsRepublicans have no plan to address costs. They can’t address costs because they are directly responsible for the rising cost of living. So instead, they’re pivoting to their holy trinity of culture war issues. There’s trouble for a…
- 16 Undecided House Races Could Determine US Congress ControlLokmat Times With all 435 seats in the US House of Representatives going to the polls on November 3, as many as 16 closely contested races are expected to decide which party controls the next Congress These 16 constituencies, spread across…
- A mild and cloudy HalloweenIt stays dry but cloudy for Halloween with highs in the middle 70s. A few light showers for some Sunday. Henry Barnes, 23, is also charged with drink driving. The man was recovered from the water and airlifted to hospital but was…
- National Republicans aim to shore up support in 2nd District raceWASHINGTON — The House Republicans’ campaign arm bought its first coordinated ad buy with State Rep. Rhett Marques, R-Enterprise, on Thursday, representing the group’s first foray into Alabama’s close 2nd Congressional District race days…
- Alabama Republicans thought they had drawn a safe US House seat. A Black congressman had other ideasMONTGOMERY, Ala. – When the U.S. Supreme Court gutted the Voting Rights Act this year, U.S. Rep. Shomari Figures knew he was going to be targeted. Alabama's Republican-controlled Legislature soon after redrew the 2nd Congressional…
- Halloween Tampa Forecast | Max Defender 8 WeatherAfter an early start to some spotty showers Saturday morning, skies will dry out temporarily for the midday. Expect a mostly cloudy sky when dry throughout the day with additional scattered showers by the evening. The man was recovered…
- 10.31.26 What students are learning at Forest Hills Eastern’s coffee shopStaff at Forest Hills Eastern High School have a new coffee shop on campus called The Coffee Nest that's run by students in the Autism Spectrum Disorder program. The man was recovered from the water and airlifted to hospital but was…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions