Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
AR-02 House election: Chris Jones vote percent
The odds
47.28%median
34%54%
Median 47.28%Middle half 46.42% – 48.31%
How the odds have moved
Median: 44.94% on Oct 20, 47.28% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 95% | 75¢ | $1.05 | 1.1K | ||
| At least 42% | 87% | $1.15 | 8.00 | |||
| At least 44% | 87% | $1.15 | 1.5K | |||
| At least 46% | 87% | $1.15 | 429 | |||
| At least 48% | 29% | $3.45 | 616 | |||
| At least 50% | 3% | 98¢ | $1.02 | 68.00 | ||
| At least 52% | 2% | 13¢ | $7.69 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AR- House, Chris Jones
Search ›- French Hill winner in Arkansas’ 2nd District race, edging Chris JonesFrench Hill has won the race for Arkansas’ 2nd Congressional District, according to AP News, defeating Chris Jones in the Nov. 3 general election. With 50.9% of votes counted, Hill received 127,000 votes, compared with Jones’ 123,032…
- French Hill - Chris Jones Congressional race remains too close to callThe race for Arkansas's Second Congressional District remains too close to call as voters wake up on Wednesday morning. As it stands right now, Republican incumbent French Hill maintains a 2 point lead with 127,427 votes (or 50.9% of the…
- Chris Jones campaign urges counting every legal vote as 2nd District race stays tightKATV The Chris Jones for Congress campaign has issued a statement as ballots continue to be counted in the 2nd Congressional District race âArkansans turned out in this election, and there are still ballots to count,â said Kimberly…
- Arkansas District 2 race between French Hill and Chris Jones 'may not be called for days' | Here's whyThough Election Day has now come and gone, the Arkansas Congressional District 2 race between incumbent French Hill and nuclear scientist Chris Jones has still not yet been called. According to the Pulaski County Circuit Court and County…
- With just over half the vote counted, Chris Jones leads French HillAccording to most national pundits, of the five U.S. Congressional races in Arkansas this year, Chris Jones in Arkansas’ 2nd District has the best chance of pulling an upset and unseating a Republican incumbent. As the numbers trickle in…
- Democrat Chris Jones concedes agriculture secretary race to incumbent Mike NaigRepublican Mike Naig will keep his job as Iowa's secretary of agriculture as unofficial results Wednesday showed him defeating Democratic challenger Chris Jones. The Nonpareil's Scott Stewart and Joanna Schroeder of Iowa Capital Dispatch…
- French Hill-Chris Jones race too close to call, other Arkansas Republicans have cake walkEven if much of the country was kicking Republicans to the curb, they were mostly safe on Tuesday night at the Republican election watch party, where Democrats were described as radical liberal leftists and defeating them was God’s work…
- Race between French Hill and Chris Jones remains too close to call Wednesday morningThe race for Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District was still too close to call Wednesday morning. House Democrats had added the 2nd district to a list of targets for the November midterms. Arkansas' 2nd district comprises much of central…
- Incumbent Mike Naig defeats Chris Jones in race for Iowa ag secretaryIncumbent Iowa Agriculture Secretary Mike Naig defeated Democratic challenger Chris Jones to win a third term as the state's farm leader. With 96 of 99 counties reporting, Naig, 48, had 53% of the votes to 47% for Jones, 65, according to…
- Opinion: Chris Jones is a vote for rural and urban IowaThe Gazette Mike Naig wants us to trust his voluntary approach on dirty water ItâÂÂs a dead end â as dead as the Gulf Dead Zone Iowa helps create Democrat Chris Jones is the leading candidate offering specific solutions to…
- Chris Jones rallies voters in Dubuque days before Election DayDUBUQUE, Iowa (KCRG) - Democratic candidate for secretary of agriculture Chris Jones campaigned in Dubuque on Saturday as Iowa candidates work to win support before Election Day. Jones made several stops across Dubuque throughout the day…
- House of Representatives race winners 2026: Results from pivotal fight for 435 seats between Republicans and DemocratsFollow along with The Post’s live election tracker for real-time results, including winners and losers in the most hotly contested House races across the country. All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives will be contested in the…
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11.57%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
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Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions