Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
AZ-08 House election: Abraham Hamadeh vote percent
The odds
53.14%median
48%64%
Median 53.14%Middle half 51.24% – 54.85%
How the odds have moved
Median: 54.32% on Oct 19, 53.14% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 96% | $1.04 | 120 | |||
| At least 52% | 62% | 64¢ | $1.56 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 54% | 41% | 44¢ | $2.27 | 420 | ||
| At least 56% | 3% | 13¢ | $7.69 | 66.00 | ||
| At least 58% | 3% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | $14.29 | 94.00 | |
| At least 60% | 3% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 | 53.00 | |
| At least 62% | 1% | ▼ 55 | 13¢ | $7.69 | 338 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AZ- House, Abraham Hamadeh
Search ›- House of Representatives race winners 2026: Results from pivotal fight for 435 seats between Republicans and DemocratsFollow along with The Post’s live election tracker for real-time results, including winners and losers in the most hotly contested House races across the country. All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives will be contested in the…
- Trump: US Aid to Israel Ends by End of 2026President Donald Trump said he and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu agreed months ago that US military aid to Israel will stop by the end of this year, while Washington will still "help Israel if they need it." President Donald Trump said…
- Rundown Promo – AZ House RaceINTRO: Voters remain skeptical of artificial intelligence data centers... with less than two weeks to go until the midterm elections. A Fox News Poll shows 71-percent of registered voters oppose building one in their community. Arizona…
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14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions