Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
CA-06 House election: Kevin Kiley vote percent
The odds
42.42%median
30%56%
Median 42.42%Middle half 39.26% – 43.58%
How the odds have moved
Median: 44.08% on Oct 19, 42.42% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 36% | 94% | 4¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.4K | |
| At least 42% | 59% | ▼ 2 | 6¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 301 |
| At least 44% | 16% | 84¢ | $1.19 | 36.00 | ||
| At least 50% | 12% | $8.33 | 39.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Kevin Kiley
Search ›- Kevin Kiley Loses Reelection After California RedistrictingThe lawmaker, a former Republican, became a top critic of redistricting in the House of Representatives. Kiley became one of the most outspoken critics of redistricting in the House of Representatives as it became clear he might become a…
- Richard Pan wins 6th Congressional District seat over Kevin KileyThe race in the newly drawn district saw Democrat and pediatrician Pan facing Independent incumbent Kevin Kiley. Richard Pan at an election night party at Frends Brewhouse in Sacramento on Nov. 3, 2026. The AP call comes a little over two…
- Kevin Kiley concedes Sacramento region’s 6th District race; Richard Pan set to winRep. Kevin Kiley, I-Rocklin, has conceded in California’s 6th Congressional District race after early returns showed former Democratic state Sen. Richard Pan in the lead. Pan led by just more than 27 percentage points in Sacramento County…
- CA House Races 2026: Real-Time ResultsLOS ANGELES, CA — The polls have closed, and the results of California's 52 Congressional races will soon begin rolling in even as it's already clear that voters nationwide have handed control of the U.S. House of Representatives to…
- CA House Races To Watch: The Blue Wave And Election InterferenceLOS ANGELES, CA — Heading into Election Day Tuesday, the most heated battles in California's 52 Congressional districts are taking place in courtrooms where the Trump Administration is sandbagging ahead of the coming blue wave. The…
- Trump backlash has turned California bluer than ever — but there’s a glimmer of hope for RepublicansTuesday’s blue wave hit California hard, sweeping away Republican candidates, congressional seats, and hopes of making gains. Already a heavily Democratic state, California is delivering to Republicans another ugly election. My take? This…
- US Congress welcomes record number of lawmakers of Chinese descentThe incoming US Congress is set to include a record six lawmakers of Chinese descent after Democrat Richard Pan won a California House race. Pan defeated incumbent Kevin Kiley in California’s 6th Congressional District by 15 percentage…
- Who’s winning now? The latest election results for Sacramento and California racesThe Doris Matsui and Mai Vang race for Congress and Flojaune Cofer against Eric Guerra for Sacramento County supervisor highlight the latest results. Published on November 6, 2026 The latest vote counts released Friday show who’s winning…
- House of Representatives race winners 2026: Results from pivotal fight for 435 seats between Republicans and DemocratsFollow along with The Post’s live election tracker for real-time results, including winners and losers in the most hotly contested House races across the country. All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives will be contested in the…
- The California election battles I’ll be watching most closely tonightLike everyone else, I’ll be watching the biggest show on Election Night: When the dust settles, will Republicans still control the United States Senate? But So, Does It Matter? is mostly about California politics, and we’ve got plenty of…
- The Sacramento Bee’s pick in the heated Richard Pan-Kevin Kiley race for CongressThe Sacramento Bee editorial board endorsed Dr. Richard Pan in the race for California’s 6th Congressional District, citing his medical expertise and record of public service. The former state senator and Rep. Kevin Kiley rose above a…
- Diwali celebrations on in Sacramento, despite state holiday legal challengesFor communities across Sacramento and California, Diwali — the ancient Hindu Festival of Lights — comes with its joyful tradition of illumination to symbolize good over evil, but this year’s celebration is marked with a shadow of…
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All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions