Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
CA-24 House election: Salud Carbajal vote percent
The odds
64.76%median
58%70%
Median 64.76%Middle half 63.15% – 66.61%
How the odds have moved
Median: 63.49% on Oct 20, 64.76% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 60% | 94% | 2¢ | $1.06 | 217 | ||
| At least 62% | 94% | $1.06 | 2.1K | |||
| At least 64% | 61% | $1.64 | 1.0K | |||
| At least 66% | 32% | $3.13 | 10.00 | |||
| At least 68% | 9% | 95¢ | $1.05 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Salud Carbajal
Search ›- Salud Carbajal leads Bob Smith in District 24 congressional raceSalud Carbajal is leading the race for California’s 24th Congressional District, with 67 percent of the vote as of 9 p.m. on Election Day. Voters across the district are deciding who will represent the Central Coast in Washington, D.C. The…
- Salud Carbajal Takes Strong Lead in 24th Congressional District RaceLOCAL ELECTION COVERAGE YOU CAN COUNT ON Help Noozhawk mark our 19th anniversary by supporting our work today! Salud Carbajal was heading to another term to represent the 24th Congressional District race with 66.3% of the vote in election…
- CA House Races 2026: Real-Time ResultsLOS ANGELES, CA — The polls have closed, and the results of California's 52 Congressional races will soon begin rolling in even as it's already clear that voters nationwide have handed control of the U.S. House of Representatives to…
- CA House Races To Watch: The Blue Wave And Election InterferenceLOS ANGELES, CA — Heading into Election Day Tuesday, the most heated battles in California's 52 Congressional districts are taking place in courtrooms where the Trump Administration is sandbagging ahead of the coming blue wave. The…
- Political Watch: November 5, 2026•On Oct. 27, Speaker of the Assembly Robert Rivas (D-Hollister) joined the list of government officials issuing statements to condemn Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officers’ Oct. 21 detainment of Santa Maria-resident Erik…
- November 2026 Midterm Election Results in Santa Barbara CountyLive Results for National, State, and Regional Races, Measures, and Propositions It’s the November 2026 midterm election, and we’ll be using this page to deliver results for some key local, state, and national races, as well as statewide…
- Carbajal retains seat in 24th Congressional District by large marginIncumbent 24th Congressional District Rep. Salud Carbajal, a Democrat, retained his seat Tuesday by a large margin, winning out over Republican challenger Bob Smith. Carbajal had 109,061 votes, or 65.8% while Smith garnered 56,606 votes…
- November 2026 Midterm Election ResultsLive Results for National, State, and Regional Races, Measures, and Propositions It’s the November 2026 Midterm Election, and we’ll be using this page to deliver results for some key local, state, and national races, as well as statewide…
- Re-elected Congressman Carbajal Shares To-Do List For Democratic PartySANTA BARBARA, Calif. (KEYT) – Rep. Salud Carbajal talked about winning his re-election campaign and what's next following a night of celebrating with fellow Democrats. The Congressman scheduled a morning call online to take questions from…
- Election results 2026Ventura County only Bilingual Newspaper By David Courtland and Carlos Garcia Xavier Becerra, a Democrat and former Biden administration official, made history Tuesday night when he became the first Latino elected California governor…
- LIVE BLOG: 2026 General ElectionCALIFORNIA: TRACK YOUR BALLOT SANTA BARBARA COUNTY ELECTIONS SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY ELECTIONS All night the KEYT News Team will be LIVE with real-time tracking and coverage of today's General Election – both State and Local races. Voting…
- Ian Baucke dominates District 5, wins City Council seatNews from the Central Coast See election results and the latest reporting from across Santa Barbara County. Ian Baucke, an experienced policy professional born and raised in Santa Barbara, has been elected to fill Eric Friedman’s City…
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14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions