Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
CA-51 House election: Ricardo Cabrera vote percent
The odds
35.81%median
28%50%
Median 35.81%Middle half 31.43% – 39.58%
How the odds have moved
Median: 35.71% on Oct 20, 35.81% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 30% | 85% | $1.18 | 600 | |||
| At least 32% | 71% | $1.41 | 800 | |||
| At least 34% | 62% | $1.61 | 200 | |||
| At least 42% | 9% | $11.11 | 1.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Ricardo Cabrera
Search ›- CA House Races 2026: Real-Time ResultsLOS ANGELES, CA — The polls have closed, and the results of California's 52 Congressional races will soon begin rolling in even as it's already clear that voters nationwide have handed control of the U.S. House of Representatives to…
- CA House Races To Watch: The Blue Wave And Election InterferenceLOS ANGELES, CA — Heading into Election Day Tuesday, the most heated battles in California's 52 Congressional districts are taking place in courtrooms where the Trump Administration is sandbagging ahead of the coming blue wave. The…
- San Diego County's Dist. 48 congressional race leans blue in early resultsWhile Democrats quickly secured the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate on Election Night, NBC News projected, a key swing district in San Diego County was still in the air. Early results for the U.S. House District 48 race…
- CA Prop. 1 Real-Time Election ResultsPatch CA Prop. 1 Real-Time Election Results Voters have had their say on Proposition 1, which would authorize the state to issue $11.25 billion in new bonds for housing programs. SACRAMENTO, CA — After polls came to a close Tuesday night…
- CA Prop. 39 Real-Time Election ResultsPatch CA Prop. 39 Real-Time Election Results Voters have had their say on Proposition 39, which would require government-issued identification at the polls and mail-in ballots. SACRAMENTO, CA — California voters rejected Proposition 39…
- OB Rag Live Blog for Election Day — Mid-Terms 20269:10 pm Very close race for mayor of Los Angeles 8:48 Both Props 39 and 40 going down in defeat Other results: Marni von Wilpert has 59.4%, 84,030 to Jim Desmond with 40.6% in CA – House 48. In State Sen. 40th District, Mara Elliott has…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions