Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
CO-01 House election: Shimon Blau vote percent
The odds
1.98%median
0%9%
Median 1.98%Middle half 1.46% – 6.27%
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.35% on Oct 20, 1.98% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | 1.5K | ||
| At least 2% | 49% | 26¢ | $2.03 | 2.5K | ||
| At least 3% | 49% | $2.03 | 3.8K | |||
| At least 4% | 49% | $2.03 | 6.4K | |||
| At least 5% | 49% | $2.03 | 620 | |||
| At least 7% | 11% | 49¢ | $2.04 | 488 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CO- House, Shimon Blau
Search ›- Meet Melat Kiros: The 29-Year-Old Ethiopian-Born Gen Z Woman Just Elected to CongressKiros was eleven months old when her family landed in Denver, having fled Tigray, Ethiopia, as war engulfed their home region. Nearly three decades later, she took the seat — unseating Rep. Diana DeGette, D-Colo., an incumbent who had held…
- Melat Kiros becomes the first Gen Z woman elected to CongressMelat Kiros looks down the line of assembled members of the Colorado Democratic Party during a unity rally put on by the party on July 2, 2026 in Denver. Timothy Hurst/Denver Post via Getty Images hide caption Midterms coverage: Live…
- Colorado’s Melat Kiros, 29, Becomes First Gen Z Woman Elected to CongressThe blue wave that swept Democrats into Congressional power on Tuesday, November 3, brought with it the first-ever Generation Z woman elected to Congress, Colorado’s Melat Kiros. The democratic socialist, 29, also enters the House of…
- Meet Melat Kiros, Gen Z Ethiopian immigrant making history in US CongressAt 29, Melat Kiros is heading to the United States Congress with two distinctions, she will be the first Gen At 29, Melat Kiros is heading to the United States Congress with two distinctions, she will be the first Gen Z woman to serve in…
- Democratic Socialist Melat Kiros wins Colorado’s District 1 raceDENVER — Democratic Socialist Melat Kiros has won election to the U.S. House where she will represent Colorado’s 1st Congressional District. With this win, Kiros will become the first Black woman and first member of Gen Z to represent…
- Who Is Melat Kiros? Ethiopian-Born Socialist Wins Colorado Congressional SeatMuseveni Tells Cultural Leaders; Leave Politics to Elected Leaders Uganda Plans 18 Police Officers Per Sub-County in New Security Drive as Country Records 3,192 Homicide Cases Kenya’s Phoebe Okowa Among Five Judges Elected to ICJ Lawmakers…
- Democratic Socialist Melat Kiros wins race to represent Colorado's 1st District in CongressDENVER, Colo. — Democratic Socialist Melat Kiros is projected to win the election to the U.S. House, where she will represent Colorado’s 1st Congressional District. With this win, Kiros will become the first Black woman and first member of…
- Democratic socialist Melat Kiros takes early lead in Colorado’s 1st CDDemocrat Melat Kiros, who unseated 15-term U.S. Rep. Diana DeGette in the June primary and describes herself as a democratic socialist, jumped out to an early lead over Republican nominee Christy Peterson and unaffiliated candidate Shimon…
- 'Judaism Beyond Zionism': Meet the 'Jews for Melat' Supporting Denver's Socialist, Israel-Hating Congresswoman-To-BeAs Denver congressional candidate Melat Kiros—a socialist who said the Sept. 11, 2001, and Oct. 7, 2023, terror attacks were "inevitable"—faced mounting criticism from Jewish voters, "Jews for Melat" came to her defense, publishing video…
- US REPRESENTATIVE DIST 1 - IDAHOKXLY.com Local news coverage from KXLY+ Good Morning Northwest at 6 November 2, 2026 Good Morning Northwest at 6 November 3, 2026 RAW: CO: HOUSE SWEPT DOWN RIVER, SMASHED INTO BRIDGE (ON CAM) One person killed in shooting outside Spokane…
- RAW: ELECTION DAY STORMS SOAK CENTRAL USAppleValleyNewsNow.com Watch Apple Valley News Now+ RAW: CO: HOUSE SWEPT DOWN RIVER, SMASHED INTO BRIDGE (ON CAM) RAW: ELECTION DAY STORMS SOAK CENTRAL US Previewing the race for Oregonâs 2nd congressional district in the todayâs…
- FOOTBALL-NCAA/AppleValleyNewsNow.com Watch Apple Valley News Now+ RAW: CO: HOUSE SWEPT DOWN RIVER, SMASHED INTO BRIDGE (ON CAM) RAW: ELECTION DAY STORMS SOAK CENTRAL US Previewing the race for Oregonâs 2nd congressional district in the todayâs…
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All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions