Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
DE-AL House election: Sarah McBride vote percent
The odds
63.68%median
52%74%
Median 63.68%Middle half 60.27% – 66.6%
How the odds have moved
Median: 63.6% on Oct 20, 63.68% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 93% | 60¢ | $1.08 | 401 | ||
| At least 60% | 77% | $1.30 | 1.0K | |||
| At least 66% | 33% | $3.03 | 3.00 | |||
| At least 68% | 7% | $15.38 | 5.00 | |||
| At least 70% | 7% | $15.38 | 1.00 | |||
| At least 72% | 6% | 25¢ | $4.00 | 802 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: DE-AL House, Sarah McBride
Search ›- ‘Queer News Tonight’: Democrat Congress Will Change Rule So Transgender Sarah McBride Can Use Women’s BathroomLGBTQ+ online news broadcast Queer News Tonight is predicting that one of the first acts of the Democrat-controlled Congress will be a rule change so transgender Rep. Sarah McBride (D-DE), a man who believes he is a woman, will be able to…
- Sarah McBride wins second term as Delaware’s U.S. representativeCourtesy of Sarah McBride DELAWARE - Voters have elected Democratic Rep. Sarah McBride to a second term as Delaware’s lone member of the U.S. House, CBS has projected. A Wilmington native, McBride served in the Delaware Senate before…
- Sarah McBride returns to Congress after historic first termWes Moore re-elected Md. governor Mark Warner re-elected to U.S. Senate Supreme Court weighs religious exemptions to LGBTQ nondiscrimination protections in Colo. preschool case Democracy Forward sues Alabama over restrictions on books…
- BREAKING: AP projects Rep. Sarah McBride to win re-election in DelawareWMDT BREAKING: AP projects Rep. Sarah McBride to win re-election in Delaware AP called the race at 8:50 p.m. on Tuesday night, with just 35 percent of votes counted. She defeated Republican challenger Dr. Joe Arminio, finishing with a…
- Sarah McBride projected to win reelection to U.S. House in DelawareDelaware election results: Sarah McBride projected to win reelection to U.S. House in Delaware 6abc Philadelphia Sarah McBride projected to win reelection to U.S. House in Delaware ABC News projected Democrat Sarah McBride will win…
- Sarah McBride wins reelection in Delaware’s U.S. House race, AP projectsUNITED STATES - SEPTEMBER 3: Rep. Sarah McBride, D-Del., leaves the U.S. Capitol after the last vote of the week on Thursday, September 3, 2026. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images) The incumbent Democrat defeated Republican…
- Delaware voters send trailblazing transgender Congresswoman Sarah McBride back to the U.S. CongressThe Democrat handily won reelection as the lone member of Congress from Delaware. U.S. Rep. Sarah McBride speaks at a rally opposing House Republicans’ tax proposal on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, before the final House vote on May 21…
- Sarah McBride sustains Democratic hold of Delaware’s at-large U.S. House seatThe Democratic incumbent will serve a second term after campaigning on affordability, health care access and protecting workers. Dems have held the seat since 2010. Democratic U.S. Rep. Sarah McBride has won reelection to Delaware’s lone…
- Sarah McBride Wins Second Term in Delaware, Beats Back GOP's ArminioThe win extends a Democratic hold on Delaware's at-large House seat that stretches back to 2010, according to WHYY. McBride first won the seat in 2024, becoming the first openly transgender person elected to Congress, and she was seeking a…
- Live Delaware election results: Congressional elections, state general assembly racesNovember 3, 2026 / 5:26 PM EST / CBS Philadelphia Congress and the state attorney general are on the ballot for Delaware voters in the 2026 midterm election. While the balance of power in Congress is in play, Delaware does not have a large…
- Equality Caucus Crows Over ‘Gayest Congress in American History’ After Democrat SweepThe Congressional Equality Caucus is taking a victory lap after Democrats swept races across the country Tuesday and captured control of the House and Senate. The victories will give Democrats command of Congress during President Trump’s…
- First Act of Dem-Controlled Congress Exposes Their REAL Priorities and It Ain't PRETTY (Literally)With Democrats poised to take control of Congress after the midterms, one of the first orders of business is already being previewed, and it has nothing to do with the economy, the border, or the national debt. These are not serious…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions