Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
FL-14 House election: Mike Beltran vote percent
The odds
47.89%median
44%60%
Median 47.89%
How the odds have moved
Median: 47.87% on Oct 21, 47.89% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 67% | $1.49 | 200 | |||
| At least 48% | 49% | $2.04 | 2.7K | |||
| At least 50% | 6% | $17.64 | 746 | |||
| At least 52% | 6% | $17.64 | 44.00 | |||
| At least 56% | 6% | $17.64 | 117 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Mike Beltran
Search ›- Democrat Kathy Castor Defeats Republican Mike Beltran to Retain Florida's 14th DistrictThe race in Florida’s 14th District has been called for Democrat Kathy Castor, who will retain her seat despite a redrawn map to give Republicans an edge in the state. Democrat Kathy Castor Defeats Republican Mike Beltran to Retain…
- Kathy Castor defeats Mike Beltran despite Republican advantage in redrawn CD 14Democratic U.S. Rep. Kathy Castor won an 11th term in Congress on Tuesday, defeating former Republican state Rep. Mike Beltran in the race for Florida’s 14th Congressional District despite a redrawn political map that gave Republicans a…
- Democrats win at least three Florida House seats targeted by GOP redistrictingDemocrat Pia Dandiya will win Floridaâs 22nd District and Democratic incumbents Rep. Jared Moskowitz and Rep. Kathy Castor will win reelection, holding their seats, CNNâs Decision Desk projects. Castor defeated Republican Mike Beltran…
- Why Republican Redistricting FloppedNov 04, 2026 at 04:10 AM EST Republicans had banked on their mid-decade redistricting efforts as insurance against a blue wave this week, but the party still suffered losses in the majority of targeted districts they redrew ahead of the…
- House of Representatives race winners 2026: Results from pivotal fight for 435 seats between Republicans and DemocratsFollow along with The Post’s live election tracker for real-time results, including winners and losers in the most hotly contested House races across the country. All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives will be contested in the…
- Florida live midterm election results: Kathy Castor reelected to 14th Congressional DistrictFlorida live midterm election results: 14th Congressional District FOX 13 Tampa Bay - Democrat Kathy Castor has won re-election to Florida's 14th Congressional District. TAMPA, Fla. - Democrat Congresswoman Kathy Castor has won re-election…
- Hillsborough County election results: Castor reelected in redrawn District 14With 51% of the vote, U.S. Rep. Kathy Castor (D-Tampa) held her 20-year congressional seat for District 14 over Republican former state Rep. Mike Beltran, who calls himself “Maga Mike.” It’s a momentous win in one of four congressional…
- Dark money group attacks Mike Beltran from the right on immigrationA dark money group that Republicans accuse of working to help Democrats has mailers out attacking Mike Beltran. American Forge Coalition, a nonprofit based in Delaware formed this year, put out a mailer attacking the Republican with the…
- Kathy Castor wins reelection in redrawn Florida districtKathy Castor Defeats Mike Beltran in Florida’s 14th, Surviving GOP Redistricting Push Business Upturn Kathy Castor wins reelection in redrawn Florida district Kathy Castor defeated former state Rep. Mike Beltran in Florida’s 14th…
- Hillsborough County election results: commission and moreTampa Bay Times Here are the latest results for the 2026 Florida midterm election races in Hillsborough County.Three congressional races are on the ballot in Tampa and its suburbs, each featuring an incumbent defending their seat…
- Florida election results: governor, Senate and Tampa Bay racesTampa Bay Times Here are the latest results for the 2026 Florida midterm election races and those in Hillsborough, Pinellas and Pasco counties.U.S Byron Donalds faces David Jolly in an open race for Florida governor, and Ashley Moody is…
- GOP Loses Gerrymandered House Seat in FloridaWATCH LIVE: MEDIAITE'S ELECTION NIGHT LIVESTREAM — HOSTED BY DAVE BRIGGS! Michael Brochstein/Sipa USA)(Sipa via AP Images) Kathy Castor is expected to stay in office in Florida’s US House 14 race after staving off a challenge from…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions