Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
FL-16 House election: Sydney Gruters vote percent
The odds
50.83%median
48%60%
Median 50.83%Middle half 50.16% – 51.5%
How the odds have moved
Median: 53.79% on Oct 20, 50.83% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 81% | $1.23 | 1.3K | |||
| At least 52% | 7% | 90¢ | $1.11 | 3.00 | ||
| At least 54% | 7% | $15.38 | 5.00 | |||
| At least 56% | 2% | 2¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 10.00 | |
| At least 58% | 2% | 3¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Sydney Gruters
Search ›- Democrats cut GOP majority in FL House despite Republicans sweeping statewide racesTALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WCTV/Gray Florida Capital Bureau) - Florida Republicans swept all statewide races on Tuesday, but, down ballot, Democrats cut the GOP’s majority in the Florida House to its smallest in decades. Florida was largely…
- Manatee County results: Republican Sydney Gruters wins District 16 seat to replace BuchananRepublican Sydney Gruters won the race for House of Representatives in District 16, replacing long-time Republican congressman Vern Buchanan. Gruters, a working mother of three who is married to the chairman of the Republican National…
- Republican Sydney Gruters wins election to U.S. House in Florida's 16th Congressional DistrictRepublican Ed Gallrein wins election to U.S. House in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District - Democrat Mary Scanlon wins reelection to U.S. House in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District - Democrat Summer Lee wins reelection to U.S…
- Trump endorses embattled RNC chairman after GOP shellackingPresident Donald Trump on Friday praised Republican National Committee Chairman Joe Gruters and said the embattled political operative should continue in his role. “I know he will do an incredible job in 2028, and secure Great Success for…
- Sydney Gruters, backed by President Trump, wins Congressional FL-16 raceSydney Gruters, the congressional candidate backed by President Donald Trump, defeated two challengers to become Manatee County’s next congresswoman. Gruters, who earned the president’s endorsement before officially launching her campaign…
- Sydney Gruters fends off Kelly Kirschner, keeps CD 16 in Republican handsRepublican Sydney Gruters will keep Florida’s 16th Congressional District in the GOP column after defeating Democrat Kelly Kirschner for the open seat. With 98% of precincts reporting, Gruters was winning 50.7% of the vote and leading in…
- Sydney Gruters wins Florida's 16th Congressional DistrictThe AP called the race for Gruters at 8:39 p.m. Tuesday, Nov. 3. According to AP election results displayed by WINK News at 8:43 p.m., Gruters received 172,678 votes, or 51.1%, compared with Kirschner's 158,960 votes, or 47.1%, with an…
- Sydney Gruters says she won race in new districtSARASOTA, Fla. (WWSB) - Sidney Gruters said she won her race in a new, large district after learning the result during an interview with reporter Ivy Morton. “We won! It’s wild. It’s such an honor, and I’m so excited,” Gruters said…
- Donald Trump endorses Joe Gruters for re-election as RNC ChairPresident Donald Trump and the White House want Joe Gruters to remain as Republican National Committee (RNC) Chair. The President is endorsing the Sarasota Republican for another two-year term leading the national party. Gruters will be up…
- Blue wave misses Suncoast as Republicans maintain powerThe blue wave that swept elsewhere around the United States on Tuesday night did not reach Sarasota’s beaches. But along the Suncoast, Republicans maintained their grip — clinching victories in county commission races across Sarasota and…
- Is Manatee County turning blue? Here’s what Florida election results showRepublicans won comfortably in Manatee County during Tuesday’s election, but their margin of victory shrank compared to previous races, according to data from the Supervisor of Elections Office. Manatee voters backed Republican candidates…
- Pinellas election results: St. Pete mayor, commission and moreHere are the latest results for the 2026 Florida midterm election races in Pinellas County. St. Petersburg will pick its next mayor — deciding whether to keep Kenneth Welch or give his office to ... Here are the latest results for the 2026…
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
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46.75%median
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Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions