Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
FL-17 House election: Greg Steube vote percent
The odds
58%median
52%66%
Median 58%Middle half 56.08% – 60.6%
How the odds have moved
Median: 58.46% on Oct 20, 58% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 81% | $1.23 | 652 | |||
| At least 56% | 76% | $1.32 | 1.4K | |||
| At least 58% | 50% | $2.00 | 716 | |||
| At least 62% | 12% | $8.70 | 200 | |||
| At least 64% | 12% | $8.70 | 430 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Greg Steube
Search ›- FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents.
- Push For Federal Funds To Expand Cape Coral Bridge Gains Key BackingCAPE CORAL, Fla. – A major push to rebuild and widen the Cape Coral Bridge took another step forward after U.S. Rep. Greg Steube threw his support behind Lee County’s bid for federal infrastructure dollars. Steube, a Florida Republican…
- Donald Trump rallies Fort Myers for Byron Donalds, Ashley Moody, floats Marco Rubio mission to CubaPresident Donald Trump says once conflict in Iran settles, he may immediately send Marco Rubio to the island of Cuba. “We’re going to come back from Iran. Those beautiful ships. We’ll pass Cuba. We’ll have one of them stop about 50 yards…
- President Trump wraps up Fort Myers rally ahead of midterm elections | See the highlightsFORT MYERS, Fla. (WINK) — President Donald Trump wrapped up a campaign rally at Florida Gulf Coast University’s Alico Arena on Friday, appearing alongside Republican gubernatorial candidate Byron Donalds and a lineup of Florida political…
- Flo Entler seeks Sarasota City Commission at-large seatFlo Entler is running for the Sarasota City Commission in the Nov. 3 general election, seeking one of two at-large seats. The nonpartisan race features three candidates. Voters choose up to two. Entler faces Jen Ahearn-Koch and John…
- 'I am a pragmatist': Matthew Montavon, Democrat candidate for U.S. District 17 seat in FLSarasota's Matthew Montavon won the August Democrat primary and is now aiming to to defeat Republican incumbent Greg Steube in the Nov. 3 general election. Steube, who's consistently won by nearly 30 points since 2018, is running in the…
- Republican lawmakers urge end to H-1B after DHS scraps automatic work-permit extensionsHome » International » Republican lawmakers urge end to H-1B after DHS scraps automatic work-permit extensions Posted By: Gopi October 19, 2026 Washington, Oct 19 (SocialNews.XYZ) Two Republican Congressmen have called for the H-1B visa…
- Greg Steube Urges Congress to Pass His Birthright CLAIM Act After Reports Claim $150.7 Billion Taxpayer Fund Costs From Birthright CitizenshipCongressman Greg Steube (R-Fla.) is calling on Congress to pass his citizenship reform legislation amid recent reports claiming that birthright citizenship costs taxpayers over $150 billion annually. “Illegal aliens and their children are…
- Three very different candidates vying for Congress in Florida District 16A Donald Trump-backed Republican, a self-described “moderate Democrat and fiscal conservative” and a candidate with no party affiliation are vying for a seat representing Florida’s 16th Congressional District. Its current occupant…
- Data Center Community Meeting is Tonight at San Jose City HallSan Jose City Hall The City of San Jose is osting a community hearing tonight at City Hall to hear public comments on data center expansion in the city. The Community Meeting for Data Centers ahnd Large Energy Project Uniform Standards…
- Tlaib Unveils Bill to Ban Federal Funding for Flock Cameras Amid 'Mass Surveillance Crisis'An aerial view of a Flock camera on September 14, 2026 in Burbank, California. “Flock’s technology isn’t making us safer," the Michigan congresswoman said. "Instead, it has been used to stalk people, misidentify and arrest innocent people…
- “Sodagate” Shows Republican Desperation and Rat F***King at its worst.Polls and early turnout have made Republicans so desperate they are rolling out vicious and absurd dirty tricks to tar Democrats. We saw that yesterday on the Senate level with the bogus story that James Talarico had checked into an Ohio…
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All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions