Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
HI-01 House election: Ed Case vote percent
The odds
71.33%median
60%78%
Median 71.33%Middle half 69.37% – 73.09%
How the odds have moved
Median: 72.47% on Oct 20, 71.33% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 64% | 91% | $1.10 | 1.5K | |||
| At least 68% | 88% | $1.14 | 811 | |||
| At least 70% | 69% | $1.45 | 1.0K | |||
| At least 74% | 12% | $8.33 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: HI- House, Ed Case
Search ›- U.S. Reps. Ed Case and Jill Tokuda easily win reelectionPublished 12:04 am Thursday, November 5, 2026 By Dan Nakaso, Star-Advertiser MARCO GARCIA / SPECIAL TO THE STAR-ADVERTISER U.S. Reps. Ed Case, left, and Jill Tokuda spoke to the crowd gathered at a Democratic watch party Tuesday night at…
- Ed Case, Jill Tokuda win re-election to the U.S. HousePublished 10:35 pm Tuesday, November 3, 2026 By DAN NAKASO Honolulu Star-Advertiser U.S. Rep. Ed Case and U.S. Rep. Jill Tokuda easily won re-election. U.S. Reps. Ed Case and Jill Tokuda easily won re-election today as part of a nationwide…
- Ed Case and Jill Tokuda win re-election to the U.S. HouseWednesday, November 4, 2026 74° Today's Paper MARCO GARCIA / SPECIAL TO THE HONOLULU STAR-ADVERTISER Congresswoman Jill Tokuda speaks at a Democrat watch party at Aloha Tower tonight. Challenger Brenton Awa conceded in a speech in his race…
- Democrat Ed Case wins reelection to U.S. House in Hawaii's 1st Congressional DistrictKHQA General Election results for November 3, 2026 Pike Co. Coroner: Nathaniel Muellerâs autopsy report is complete Northeast Missouri man injured in rollover crash Monday night in Lewis County QU student among the injured in deadly…
- EDITORIAL: After blue deluge, hard work beginsPublished 12:01 am Friday, November 6, 2026 MARCO GARCIA / SPECIAL TO THE HONOLULU STAR-ADVERTISER Gov. Josh Green and his family along with Derek Kawakami and his wife Monica react after winning their elections at a Democrat watch party…
- Hawaiʻi's top Democrats surf the blue waveDemocrats across the country are celebrating after major wins flipped congressional districts and governorships long held by the Republican Party. Here in Hawaiʻi, Gov. Josh Green sailed to reelection with over 70% of the vote. He…
- Amit Shah Challenges Rahul Gandhi to Debate in Parliament Amid SIR RowAmit Shah's Challenge to Rahul Gandhi Over SIR Row (Img: Pinterest) Karnal: Union Home Minister Amit Shah on Thursday challenged Congress leader Rahul Gandhi to take the political confrontation over electoral roll revisions to Parliament…
- SC sends Azam Khan's ED bail plea to Allahabad HC, seeks interim order on Nov 16Samajwadi Party leader Azam Khan's bail plea in the ED case has been transferred by the Supreme Court to the Allahabad High Court for hearing on November 16. Trump’s pain makes D-Street bulls gain! IndiGo, Asian Paints, other…
- What will the change in Congress mean for Hawaii?HONOLULU (Island News) -- With the results of the Midterm Election, Democrats will take control of both houses of Congress in January. That change in Washington, D.C. could mean a change at local gas pumps. Just one of the differences…
- Schatz: Democratic Senate takeover gives Hawaii stronger voiceHONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - U.S. Senator Brian Schatz could become the next Senate majority whip, after Democrats regained control of the U.S. Senate in Tuesday’s general election. Current Democratic Whip Dick Durbin is retiring in January…
- Fans of Democracy: What D.C.’s ‘bluenami’ means for Hawaii, and what it cost local GOPHONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - Following a nationwide Democratic sweep that flipped leadership in both chambers of Congress, Hawaii’s federal delegation is preparing to step into major leadership roles while local lawmakers grapple with…
- 5 takeaways from Hawaiʻi's midterm electionWith plenty to parse on this year's ballot, here are the main takeaways so far from the 2026 midterm elections for the state. Democratic Gov. Josh Green won a second term as Hawaiʻi governor by defeating Republican Gary Cordery on Tuesday…
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All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions