HI-02 House election: Brenton Awa vote percent

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $32.5K traded · $25.7K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

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The odds

33.83%median
22%44%
Median 33.83%Middle half 32.4% – 35.17%

How the odds have moved

Median: 32.84% on Oct 20, 33.83% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 24% 97% $1.03 12.1K
At least 26% 96% $1.04 7.0K
At least 28% 96% $1.04 4.2K
At least 30% 96% $1.04 6.8K
At least 32% 82% 7¢ 98¢ $1.02 2.5K
At least 34% 47% $2.13 2.9K
At least 36% 10% $10.53 791
At least 38% 10% $10.53 583
At least 40% 2% $50.00 467
At least 42% 1% 2¢ $50.00 481

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: HI- House, Brenton Awa

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  • Brenton Awa concedes defeat in Hawaii Congressional District 2 raceKITV Island News · 6 days agoKITV Hawaii 2026 Midterm Results Are In State Sen. Brenton Awa conceded defeat in the race for Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District after incumbent Jill Tokuda held a significant lead in both election printouts. Awa said he plans to focus…
  • U.S. Rep. Jill Tokuda defeats Brenton Awa in 2nd District re-election@hawaiinewsnow · 6 days agoHONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - Democratic incumbent U.S. Rep. Jill Tokuda won re-election to Hawaiʻi’s 2nd Congressional District on Tuesday night, securing a commanding victory after Republican state Sen. Brenton Awa conceded the race. The…
  • ‘We got crushed’: Brenton Awa concedes to Jill Tokuda in 2nd Congressional District@hawaiinewsnow · 6 days agoHONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - Republican state Sen. Brenton Awa conceded the race for Hawaiʻi’s 2nd Congressional District on Tuesday night to incumbent Democratic U.S. Rep. Jill Tokuda. The second general election printout, released at 9:02…
  • Hawaii's Jill Tokuda wins reelection as Dems sweep House and SenateKITV Island News · 5 days agoKITV Hawaii 2026 Midterm Results Are In Democrat Jill Tokuda has won re-election to Hawaii's congressional seat, defeating Republican challenger Brenton Awa as Democrats reclaim both the House and Senate.
  • Ed Case and Jill Tokuda win re-election to the U.S. HouseHonolulu Star-Advertiser · 6 days agoWednesday, November 4, 2026 74° Today's Paper MARCO GARCIA / SPECIAL TO THE HONOLULU STAR-ADVERTISER Congresswoman Jill Tokuda speaks at a Democrat watch party at Aloha Tower tonight. Challenger Brenton Awa conceded in a speech in his race…
  • U.S. Reps. Ed Case and Jill Tokuda easily win reelectionThe Garden Island · 5 days agoPublished 12:04 am Thursday, November 5, 2026 By Dan Nakaso, Star-Advertiser MARCO GARCIA / SPECIAL TO THE STAR-ADVERTISER U.S. Reps. Ed Case, left, and Jill Tokuda spoke to the crowd gathered at a Democratic watch party Tuesday night at…
  • Hawaii Republicans brace for major House losses ahead of final printout@hawaiinewsnow · 5 days agoHONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - Hawaii already has one of the most one-sided legislatures in the country, and with one printout left to be released, Republicans in Hawaii’s House of Representatives could lose nearly half their seats. Of the 10…
  • Little changes as vote counting wraps upThe Garden Island · 5 days agoPublished 12:05 am Thursday, November 5, 2026 By The Garden Island Staff from the Elections Office secure ballots dropped off at the Ballot Box in front of the Voter Service Center in Lihue after closing the center at 7 p.m. on Tuesday…
  • 5 takeaways from Hawaiʻi's midterm electionHawai'i Public Radio · 5 days agoWith plenty to parse on this year's ballot, here are the main takeaways so far from the 2026 midterm elections for the state. Democratic Gov. Josh Green won a second term as Hawaiʻi governor by defeating Republican Gary Cordery on Tuesday…
  • Tokuda, Awa battle for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 seat: What to knowAOL.com · 6 days agoHONOLULU (KHON2) -- Incumbent Democrat Jill Tokuda and Republican Brenton Awa will face off for a seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Here’s what to know about this year’s race to represent Hawaii’s second Congressional District…
  • Hawai‘i Gov. Josh Green essentially wins 2nd term with Kaua‘i’s Kawakami to be his lieutenant governorBig Island Now · 6 days agoBlue swept across the mainland Tuesday night as control of Capitol Hill in Washington shifted. Democrats flipped at least 4 Republican seats in the U.S. Senate and were expected to secure at least 245 U.S. House seats to claim a majority…
  • Mel Rapozo elected Mayor of KauaiThe Garden Island · 6 days agoPublished 12:05 am Wednesday, November 4, 2026 By The Garden Island Action near the Voter Service Center in Lihue is steady and brisk on Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026, as voters turned out to cast their ballots — either in person or to drop off at…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions