Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
HI-02 House election: Jill Tokuda vote percent
The odds
66.93%median
56%76%
Median 66.93%Middle half 66.3% – 67.55%
How the odds have moved
Median: 61.69% on Oct 19, 66.93% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 58% | 95% | $1.05 | 100 | |||
| At least 60% | 94% | $1.06 | 200 | |||
| At least 62% | 94% | $1.06 | 657 | |||
| At least 64% | 87% | $1.15 | 49.00 | |||
| At least 66% | 87% | $1.15 | 289 | |||
| At least 68% | 7% | $14.29 | 2.1K | |||
| At least 70% | 7% | 69¢ | $1.45 | 6.0K | ||
| At least 72% | 7% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.4K | ||
| At least 74% | 7% | $14.29 | 251 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: HI- House, Jill Tokuda
Search ›- U.S. Reps. Ed Case and Jill Tokuda easily win reelectionPublished 12:04 am Thursday, November 5, 2026 By Dan Nakaso, Star-Advertiser MARCO GARCIA / SPECIAL TO THE STAR-ADVERTISER U.S. Reps. Ed Case, left, and Jill Tokuda spoke to the crowd gathered at a Democratic watch party Tuesday night at…
- Hawaii's Jill Tokuda wins reelection as Dems sweep House and SenateKITV Hawaii 2026 Midterm Results Are In Democrat Jill Tokuda has won re-election to Hawaii's congressional seat, defeating Republican challenger Brenton Awa as Democrats reclaim both the House and Senate.
- Ed Case, Jill Tokuda win re-election to the U.S. HousePublished 8:35 pm Tuesday, November 3, 2026 By DAN NAKASO Honolulu Star-Advertiser U.S. Rep. Ed Case and U.S. Rep. Jill Tokuda easily won re-election. U.S. Reps. Ed Case and Jill Tokuda easily won re-election today as part of a nationwide…
- Ed Case and Jill Tokuda win re-election to the U.S. HouseWednesday, November 4, 2026 74° Today's Paper MARCO GARCIA / SPECIAL TO THE HONOLULU STAR-ADVERTISER Congresswoman Jill Tokuda speaks at a Democrat watch party at Aloha Tower tonight. Challenger Brenton Awa conceded in a speech in his race…
- U.S. Rep. Jill Tokuda defeats Brenton Awa in 2nd District re-electionHONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - Democratic incumbent U.S. Rep. Jill Tokuda won re-election to Hawaiʻi’s 2nd Congressional District on Tuesday night, securing a commanding victory after Republican state Sen. Brenton Awa conceded the race. The…
- ‘We got crushed’: Brenton Awa concedes to Jill Tokuda in 2nd Congressional DistrictHONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - Republican state Sen. Brenton Awa conceded the race for Hawaiʻi’s 2nd Congressional District on Tuesday night to incumbent Democratic U.S. Rep. Jill Tokuda. The second general election printout, released at 9:02…
- Hawaii Democrats outline priorities as party prepares for new CongressKITV With a shift in control of Congress ahead, Hawaii Democrats are outlining their priorities, including affordability, federal funding and support for local programs. Senator Mazie Hirono and Representative Jill Tokuda said rising…
- Hawaiʻi's top Democrats surf the blue waveDemocrats across the country are celebrating after major wins flipped congressional districts and governorships long held by the Republican Party. Here in Hawaiʻi, Gov. Josh Green sailed to reelection with over 70% of the vote. He…
- EDITORIAL: After blue deluge, hard work beginsPublished 12:01 am Friday, November 6, 2026 MARCO GARCIA / SPECIAL TO THE HONOLULU STAR-ADVERTISER Gov. Josh Green and his family along with Derek Kawakami and his wife Monica react after winning their elections at a Democrat watch party…
- Brenton Awa concedes defeat in Hawaii Congressional District 2 raceKITV Hawaii 2026 Midterm Results Are In State Sen. Brenton Awa conceded defeat in the race for Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District after incumbent Jill Tokuda held a significant lead in both election printouts. Awa said he plans to focus…
- What will the change in Congress mean for Hawaii?HONOLULU (Island News) -- With the results of the Midterm Election, Democrats will take control of both houses of Congress in January. That change in Washington, D.C. could mean a change at local gas pumps. Just one of the differences…
- Little changes as vote counting wraps upPublished 12:05 am Thursday, November 5, 2026 By The Garden Island Staff from the Elections Office secure ballots dropped off at the Ballot Box in front of the Voter Service Center in Lihue after closing the center at 7 p.m. on Tuesday…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions