Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
IL-04 House election: Patty Garcia vote percent
The odds
63.24%median
54%76%
Median 63.24%Middle half 58.67% – 70.32%
How the odds have moved
Median: 63.84% on Oct 19, 63.24% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 85% | $1.18 | 892 | |||
| At least 58% | 76% | $1.32 | 273 | |||
| At least 60% | 73% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 522 | ||
| At least 62% | 73% | $1.37 | 786 | |||
| At least 64% | 36% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.5K | ||
| At least 66% | 36% | $2.78 | 82.00 | |||
| At least 68% | 36% | $2.78 | 831 | |||
| At least 72% | 17% | $5.88 | 499 | |||
| At least 74% | 5% | $20.00 | 303 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IL- House, Patty Garcia
Search ›- Patty Garcia, Lupe Castillo, Chris Getty vie to replace Rep. Chuy Garcia in Illinois' 4th DistrictWith Rep. Jesus "Chuy" Garcia leaving office when the next Congress is sworn in, voters in Illinois' U.S. House 4th District are choosing between Democrat Patty Garcia, Republican Lupe Castillo, independent candidate Chris Getty, and…
- Patty Garcia projected to win 4th Congressional DistrictCBS News: America Decides: Election 2026 CBS News Bay Area: Voters Decide CBS News Chicago: Voters Decide CBS News Colorado: Voters Decide CBS News Detroit: Voters Decide CBS News Los Angeles: Voters Decide CBS News Minnesota: Voters…
- Illinois election for U.S. House 4th District has Patty Garcia and Lupe Castillo vying to replace Chuy GarciaNovember 3, 2026 / 6:56 AM CST / CBS Chicago With Rep. Jesus "Chuy" Garcia leaving office when the next congress is worn in, voters in the Illinois' U.S. House 4th District are choosing between Democrat Patty Garcia and Republican Lupe…
- Pritzker: IL House has some catching up to do on sexual harassment policiesAlso: IL lawmakers could consider Bears "stadium authority" bill in veto session. (CAPITOL CITY NOW) – With sexual harassment accusations touching the departures of two Illinois House speakers in a row, Gov. JB Pritzker (pictured) said…
- Patty Garcia runs up a win in 4th DistrictA hyperlocal news site committed to in-depth reporting on issues concerning Riverside and Brookfield, Illinois. Garcia piled up the votes in the overwhelmingly Democratic and majority Hispanic district on a very good night for Democrats…
- Patty Garcia Wins 4th Congressional District Race, Succeeding ‘Chuy’ GarciaLITTLE VILLAGE — Patty Garcia is the new congresswoman for the 4th Congressional District, the only majority-Latino district in the Midwest. Castillo earned 15.1 percent of the vote, while Getty and Hershey had 10.4 percent and 3.7…
- Democrat Patty Garcia wins election to U.S. House in Illinois' 4th Congressional DistrictDemocrat Roy Cooper wins North Carolina Senate seat, flipping a key GOP-held seat Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff wins reelection, defeating Rep. Mike Collins to hold a key Democratic seat Cooper flips Senate seat in North Carolina as Democrats…
- Patty Garcia, ex-chief of staff for 'Chuy' García, faces 3 candidates for US rep. seat | LIVECHICAGO (WLS) -- The race to replace Congressman Jesús "Chuy" García will likely be decided Tuesday. He canceled his run for reelection on the final day of filing. His chief of staff, Patty Garcia, was the only Democrat to file in time for…
- Illinois 4th District race: Democrat Patty García wins race to replace Rep. Jesús “Chuy” GarcíaVoters elected Democrat Patty García on Tuesday to represent Illinois’ 4th Congressional District, ending a race defined by the heavy-handed political maneuvering that cleared her way. García will succeed outgoing four-term U.S. Rep Jesús…
- Patty Garcia wins race to replace Chuy Garcia in Congress, AP projectsMembers of the House of Representatives are elected to two-year terms. The 4th Congressional District spans parts of Chicago’s Southwest Side and portions of the south, southwest and western suburbs. The district stretches from as far…
- Patty García wants to move forward, as three other challengers vie for seat to replace Rep. 'Chuy' GarciaThere has been no shortage of controversy in the 4th Congressional District, where U.S. Rep. Jesus “Chuy” García’s last-minute decision to drop out of the primary race led him to helping his chief of staff quickly take his spot on the…
- Analysts on the Democrats' big national victoriesCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Analysts on the…
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
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46.75%median
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions