Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
IN-05 House election: Victoria Spartz vote percent
The odds
48.9%median
46%60%
Median 48.9%Middle half 48.32% – 49.47%
How the odds have moved
Median: 52.44% on Oct 19, 48.9% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 89% | 97¢ | $1.03 | 1.1K | ||
| At least 50% | 2% | 1¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 944 | |
| At least 52% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 894 | ||
| At least 54% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 342 | ||
| At least 56% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.4K | ||
| At least 58% | 1% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 242 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IN- House, Victoria Spartz
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- These are the House races to watch in the 2026 midterm election on Nov. 3In the final week of the 2026 midterm election, ad spending data suggests the core battle is less about stopping a Democratic wave in the House, and more about figuring out how high it crests. An NPR analysis finds the final competitive…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions