Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
KY-04 House election: Melissa Strange vote percent
The odds
56%At least 38%
32%44%
How the odds have moved
At least 34%: 76% on Oct 19, 86% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 86% | $1.16 | 415 | |||
| At least 36% | 66% | $1.52 | 200 | |||
| At least 38% | 56% | $1.79 | 400 | |||
| At least 40% | 56% | $1.79 | 200 | |||
| At least 42% | 56% | $1.79 | 500 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: KY- House, Melissa Strange
Search ›- Trump-backed Ed Gallrein defeats Democrat Melissa Strange for US House seat in KentuckyCINCINNATI — Republican Ed Gallrein will lead Kentucky's 4th congressional district after defeating Democrat Melissa Strange for the U.S. House seat Tuesday, according to Associated Press projections. Gallrein, who was endorsed by…
- Trump backed Alvarado twice in KY House race. Why GOP candidate broke from the presidentRalph Alvarado had already broken with President Donald Trump on two key points in his run for Kentucky’s 6th U.S. House District, but in defeat on Tuesday, he made another assertion Trump has not typically agreed with: He applauded the…
- Trump-backed Kentucky Republican wins Massie House seatRepublican Ed Gallrein, a retired Navy SEAL and farmer, is projected to win in the race to represent Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District, a seat currently held by President Trump critic Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.), according to Decision…
- Ed Gallrein wins election for US House District 4 seatRepublican Ed Gallrein has won Tuesday's election and will now represent Kentucky's 4th District, the Associated Press projects. Gallrein, who previously received an endorsement from President Donald Trump, faced Democrat Melissa Strange…
- Gallrein and Barr hold the line for Republicans, Currin surprises on election night in Northern Kentuckycovers Northern Kentucky. If you have a story that you'd like Logan to look into or a news tip, contact him at [email protected]. NORTHERN KENTUCKY — Republicans largely held the line in Northern Kentucky on election night, even as Democrats…
- Incumbent Adrielle Camuel, Republican Hannah Beth Rivera face off in KY House District 93Democratic incumbent Adrielle Camuel is taking on Republican candidate Hannah Beth Rivera in the race for Lexington’s District 93 seat in the Kentucky House of Representatives. The 93rd District encompasses areas primarily off Tates Creek…
- Midterm Matters: Covering results in Kentucky, Ohio and nationwideRed in Kentucky, blue in Ohio were the results of the midterm election races followed by The Northerner. This is being heralded as one of the most consequential midterm elections in U.S. history. Political observers say, once the votes are…
- General election turnout sees increase in early votingThe votes are in. See the results. Explore results from Northern Kentucky’s 2026 General Election. The number of early voters in Northern Kentucky increased this year. All three clerks spoke with LINK nky Wednesday morning following the…
- Ed Gallrein wins race for Kentucky 4th Congressional DistrictRepublican Ed Gallrein has won the race for Kentucky's 4th Congressional District, the Associated Press projects. Gallrein defeated Democratic candidate Melissa Strange to take over the seat previously held by longtime incumbent…
- Gallrein wins Kentucky's 4th Congressional District seatRepublican candidate Ed Gallrein won the 4th Congressional District seat Tuesday. "Folks, it's a long way from a family dairy farm to standing before you as your Congressman-elect, and I'm not talking mileage," Gallrein said to supporters…
- Thomas Massie poses with Libertarian candidate running for his seatWASHINGTON (TNND) — Kentucky GOP Rep. Thomas Massie posed with Libertarian candidate Jeremy Todd who is running for his seat. Jeremy Todd, who is running for Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District as a Libertarian, posted a picture of…
- A blue ripple washes over Northern Kentucky on Election DayNEWPORT, KY − Kentucky was not among the states marking a blue wave from the Nov. 3 election. But Northern Kentucky voters produced a blue ripple. Not only did Democrats win back a state House seat, but Republicans split their down-ballot…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions