Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
KY-05 House election: Ned Pillersdorf vote percent
The odds
24.91%median
14%32%
Median 24.91%Middle half 24.21% – 25.61%
How the odds have moved
Median: 24.5% on Oct 20, 24.91% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 16% | 91% | $1.10 | 270 | |||
| At least 18% | 91% | 80¢ | $1.10 | 580 | ||
| At least 20% | 83% | $1.21 | 410 | |||
| At least 22% | 83% | $1.21 | 1.0K | |||
| At least 24% | 83% | $1.21 | 2.8K | |||
| At least 26% | 11% | $9.09 | 1.1K | |||
| At least 28% | 3% | $33.33 | 2.2K | |||
| At least 30% | 2% | $50.00 | 771 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: KY- House, Ned Pillersdorf
Search ›- Trump backed Alvarado twice in KY House race. Why GOP candidate broke from the presidentRalph Alvarado had already broken with President Donald Trump on two key points in his run for Kentucky’s 6th U.S. House District, but in defeat on Tuesday, he made another assertion Trump has not typically agreed with: He applauded the…
- Shurtleff elected Pikeville mayor, Republicans strengthen hold on Pike County, while incumbents win in FloydElection Day ended in Kentucky with Pikeville choosing its new direction, Republicans strengthening their hold on Pike County government, and incumbents surviving some hard-fought challenges in Floyd County. In Pikeville, Bob Shurtleff is…
- Incumbent Hal Rogers wins Kentucky’s 5th congressional seatWKYT LEXINGTON, Ky. (WKYT) - Hal Rogers has won Kentucky’s 5th Congressional district seat. Ned Pillersdorf challenged incumbent Republican U.S. Rep. Hal Rogers, who has represented the district since he was first elected in 1980. Known as…
- Hal Rogers retains U.S. Fifth Congressional District seatThe Associated Press and other news outlets have called the race for the U.S. Fifth Congressional District to incumbent Hal Rogers. William Hunt elected mayor of Somerset Hal Rogers retains U.S. Fifth Congressional District seat U.S…
- Incumbent Adrielle Camuel, Republican Hannah Beth Rivera face off in KY House District 93Democratic incumbent Adrielle Camuel is taking on Republican candidate Hannah Beth Rivera in the race for Lexington’s District 93 seat in the Kentucky House of Representatives. The 93rd District encompasses areas primarily off Tates Creek…
- What does the incumbency advantage mean for Rogers, Pillersdorf race in KY's 5th District?A Prestonsburg lawyer hopes to unseat veteran Republican U.S. Rep. Hal Rogers next week, though one expert says the climate of Kentucky's 5th Congressional District isn't a level playing field. Rogers has served the 5th District, which…
- Democratic challenger Ned Pillersdorf casts early ballot in 5th Congressional District racePRESTONSURG, Ky. (WYMT) -As Kentucky’s three-day early voting period officially began Thursday, candidates on the ballot were among the first voters heading to the polls. In the race for Kentucky’s 5th Congressional District, Democratic…
- Not a ‘David and Goliath race’: Dems challenge long-standing Republicans in KY House racesDemocrat Congressional Candidate John Drew Williams speaks on Saturday, Aug. 1, 2026, at the annual St. Jerome Picnic in Fancy Farm. John “Drew” Williams — who, according to Ballotpedia, was born in Paducah, earned a high school diploma…
- Pillersdorf challenging Rogers for U.S. House seatThe longest-serving member in the U.S. House, Rep. Hal Rogers, is leaning on his record in his run for his 24th consecutive term, while challenger, Prestonsburg attorney Ned Pillersdorf, is questioning the impact of that legacy. Rogers, a…
- Where Lexington candidates stand on data centers, Flock cameras, housing, inflationLexington voters head to the polls Nov. 3 to decide races for mayor, vice mayor, city council and state and federal legislative seats. The Lexington Herald-Leader has covered where candidates stand on data centers, Flock cameras, housing…
- Dems challenge long-standing Republicans in U.S. House racesDemocrat Congressional candidate John Drew Williams is campaigning in the 1st Congressional District where James Comer is the Republican seeking re-election. Democratic congressional candidate Ned Pillersdorf speaks to voters in Knott…
- Several offices on Perry County general election ballotEditor's note: Story has been corrected to include the race for Property Valuation Administrator. Voters in Perry County have several choices to make in the general election set to be held on Nov. 3. At the federal level, voters will have…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions