Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
LA-03 House election: Clay Higgins vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
62.48%median
52%74%
Median 62.48%Middle half 57% – 64.86%
How the odds have moved
Median: 62.49% on Oct 20, 62.48% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 81% | $1.23 | 2.00 | |||
| At least 56% | 81% | $1.23 | 200 | |||
| At least 58% | 69% | $1.45 | 800 | |||
| At least 60% | 64% | $1.56 | 477 | |||
| At least 62% | 55% | $1.82 | 200 | |||
| At least 66% | 13% | 91¢ | $1.10 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 70% | 8% | $12.50 | 1.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: LA- House, Clay Higgins
Search ›- Controversial Clay Higgins ad sparks conversations about graphic political messagingLAFAYETTE, La. (Acadiana News First) - A controversial campaign video featuring U.S. Rep. Clay Higgins and depicting an execution is sparking discussion about the use of graphic imagery and emotional appeals in political advertising…
- Rep. Miller Leads 44 Members in Letter Calling for Citizenship-Only Census Count for Congressional ApportionmentWASHINGTON, D.C. — Today, Congresswoman Mary Miller (IL-15) led 44 Members of Congress in a letter to the U.S. Rep. Miller Leads 44 Members in Letter Calling for Citizenship-Only Census Count for Congressional Apportionment WASHINGTON…
- This Louisiana election is unusual, some observers say. Here’s why.A poster of the "I Voted" sticker by Terrance Osborne was on display during early voting for the Nov. 3 ballot. WASHINGTON – Baton Rouge pollster John Couvillon turned on his TV after Labor Day expecting — and like most political junkies…
- Candidates challenging Rep. Higgins weigh in on SpaceX, carbon capture, data centersLAKE CHARLES, La. (KPLC) - Meet the five people challenging Rep. Clay Higgins for his seat in the U.S. House, representing parts of Southwest Louisiana and Acadiana. This year’s Congressional races have been a rollercoaster for voters…
- Senator Hyde-Smith Introduces the Ecuador Shrimp Tariff Act; Making America’s Food Safer Passes the Senate; and Other Legislation Supporting U.S. Shrimpers Advances in CongressS. 5613, the Ecuador Shrimp Tariff Act Introduced Wednesday On Wednesday, Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS) announced the introduction of S. 5613, the Ecuador Shrimp Tariff Act that would gradually increase tariffs imposed on shrimp from…
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
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Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
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Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions