Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
LA-04 House election: Mike Johnson vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
59.01%median
52%72%
Median 59.01%Middle half 58.47% – 59.55%
How the odds have moved
Median: 60.28% on Oct 20, 59.01% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 99% | 74¢ | $1.01 | 6.7K | ||
| At least 56% | 98% | 77¢ | $1.02 | 3.0K | ||
| At least 58% | 97% | 15¢ | $1.03 | 538 | ||
| At least 60% | 4% | 3¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 7.0K | |
| At least 62% | 3% | 28¢ | $3.57 | 6.4K | ||
| At least 63% | 3% | 3¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 10.7K | |
| At least 64% | 3% | 2¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 15.1K | |
| At least 66% | 3% | 17¢ | $5.88 | 3.8K | ||
| At least 68% | 3% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 5.6K | ||
| At least 70% | 2% | ▼ 2 | 15¢ | $6.67 | 1.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: LA- House, Mike Johnson
Search ›- Mike Johnson not running to lead House GOP after historic midterm lossesHouse of Representatives control is projected to go to Democrats, making Hakeem Jeffries the next speaker. The Fox News Decision Desk projection follows a significant shift among young, independent, rural, and Hispanic voters. Speaker Mike…
- Speaker Mike Johnson projected to cruise to re-election for fifth House termSpeaker of the House Mike Johnson discusses the GOP effort to keep control of Congress as the midterm elections near. Johnson also weighs in on Russian sanctions and more during 'Sunday Morning Futures.' House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La…
- Speaker Mike Johnson won't seek another term as House GOP leader after midterm lossesNovember 4, 2026 / 10:16 AM EST / CBS News Washington — House Speaker Mike Johnson told staffers that he will not run for minority leader in the new Congress, according to a source familiar with the matter, stepping aside after the GOP's…
- Speaker Mike Johnson Reacts After Republicans Lose Control of the HouseNewsweek - Global Iran WarRussia-UkraineMiddle EastChina And AsiaLive BlogBetter PlanetAll World News The Most Important Election of Our Lives, Until the Next One w/ Astead Herndon Midterm Election Night, Senate Final Polls, Supreme Court…
- House Speaker Mike Johnson will not stay on as Republican leader after GOP lossesBREAKING: Former ‘Diddy’ prosecutor will lead investigation into Cornell alleged sexual assault, N.Y. Attorney General Letitia James announces WASHINGTON — A day after Democrats won the House majority, Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., told his…
- Mike Johnson won’t run for minority leader after Republicans lose House majorityWASHINGTON — House Speaker Mike Johnson told his staff Wednesday that he will not vie to be minority leader in the next session of Congress after Republicans suffered a generational midterm wipeout, multiple sources on his team told The…
- Mike Johnson does impression of Trump | CNN PoliticsHouse Speaker Mike Johnson impersonated President Donald Trump while speaking at a rally in Dubuque, Iowa. Texas Senate candidate James Talarico accuses Republican rival Ken Paxton of serving "billionaire megadonors" like Elon Musk, who…
- See scenes from Mike Johnson’s watch partyThe Shreveport-Bossier City Advocate Follow live election results in Louisiana 2026 midterms: Letlow-Davis Senate race and more Julia Letlow celebrates victory in Senate race, but Jamie Davis says heâs not conceding yet
- Mike Johnson will not seek to remain House GOP leaderJohnson confirmed his plans in a staff call. House Speaker Mike Johnson announced on Wednesday that he would not run for House minority leader, setting up a battle for the GOP leadership after a rout on Tuesday sent the party to minority…
- Mike Johnson admits Republican defeat in the House of RepresentativesThe Democratic Party is on the verge of winning a majority in both houses of the US Congress after elections held in the atmosphere of a referendum on a second term for the Republican president... 08:55h The Speaker of the US House of…
- Video House Speaker Mike Johnson speaks after Democrats projected to take control of HouseHouse Speaker Mike Johnson made remarks after ABC News projected Democrats will win enough seats to take control of the House. House Speaker Mike Johnson speaks after Democrats projected to take control of House House Speaker Mike Johnson…
- Mike Johnson, Steve Scalise speak out after Dems likely to flip the House in 2026 midtermsHouse Majority Leader Steve Scalise, R-Jefferson, accompanied by Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, R-Benton, speaks during a news conference on Capitol Hill, Tuesday, July 14, 2026, in Washington. Louisiana’s U.S. Reps. Mike Johnson and…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions