Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
LA-05 House election: Dan McKay vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
7.77%median
5%46%
Median 7.77%Middle half 7.24% – 8.88%
How the odds have moved
Median: 8.11% on Oct 20, 7.77% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 6% | 87% | 2¢ | $1.16 | 410 | ||
| At least 7% | 87% | $1.16 | 10.00 | |||
| At least 8% | 39% | 2¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 5.00 | |
| At least 10% | 7% | ▼ 14 | 2¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 415 |
| At least 12% | 7% | 97¢ | $1.03 | 600 | ||
| At least 14% | 7% | 97¢ | $1.03 | 1.2K | ||
| At least 30% | 6% | 22¢ | $4.55 | 4.9K | ||
| At least 32% | 5% | 22¢ | $4.55 | 4.5K | ||
| At least 34% | 5% | 88¢ | $1.14 | 3.3K | ||
| At least 36% | 5% | 88¢ | $1.14 | 2.7K | ||
| At least 38% | 4% | 88¢ | $1.14 | 3.2K | ||
| At least 40% | 4% | 23¢ | $4.35 | 3.2K | ||
| At least 42% | 4% | 88¢ | $1.14 | 4.2K | ||
| At least 44% | 4% | 88¢ | $1.14 | 3.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: LA- House, Dan McKay
Search ›- Democratic socialist Angela Gonzales-Torres unseats Jimmy Gomez in LA House raceDemocratic socialist Angela Gonzales-Torres unseated Rep. Jimmy Gomez, ending the Democrat’s nearly decade-long hold on California’s 34th Congressional District as he faces a House Ethics Committee investigation into sexual misconduct…
- NCAA was nearing a historic win in Congress. Then voters changed everythingCritics say the Protect College Sports Act preserves network and conference power, while collective bargaining may offer athletes a fairer path forward. The Congressional legislation that was supposed to provide “stability” and antitrust…
- Pat Moore, Gabe Firment headed to runoff election for Louisiana's 5th Congressional DistrictMONROE — Democrat State Rep. Pat Moore and Republican State Rep. Gabe Firment will go head-to-head in a runoff election for the U.S. Rep. in Louisiana's 5th Congressional District. The two candidates did not receive more than 50% of the…
- LaSalle Parish Election Results (Early Voting Only)Unofficial early voting results from Nov. 3 Election Jamie Davis (D) 263 Julia Letlow (R) 1,291 Stewart Cathey Jr. (R) 59 Misti Cordell (R) 64 Oscar “Omar” Dantzler (R) 7 Michael Echols (R) 113 “Gabe” Firment (R) 1,141 Austin Magee (R) 16…
- LaSalle Parish Election ResultsUnofficial results from Nov. 3 Election Jamie Davis (D) 702 Julia Letlow (R) 3,693 ✔️ Stewart Cathey Jr. (R) 207 Misti Cordell (R) 283 Oscar “Omar” Dantzler (R) 22 Michael Echols (R) 304 “Gabe” Firment (R) 3,082 ✔️ Austin Magee (R) 54 Dan…
- Baton Rouge Press Club hosts 5th Congressional District forumBATON ROUGE — Five of the nine people running to represent the Fifth Congressional District shared their platforms with the Baton Rouge Press Club on Monday. The candidates outlined what they hope to accomplish if voters send them to…
- Voters head to polls TuesdayA large number of voters took advantage of the Early Voting period, which ran from Tuesday, Oct. 20 through Tuesday, Oct. 27 (excluding Sunday, Oct. 25). As of Monday morning, this newspaper’s press deadline, LaSalle Parish had 992 voters…
- See what candidates for Louisiana’s 5th congressional say about abortion, MedicaidCandidates for Louisiana’s Fifth Congressional District are divided on whether to pass a national abortion ban — and their support for the Medicaid cuts in President Donald Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act varies. Five of the nine…
- Louisiana 5th District candidates share views on abortion, redistrictingFirment appeared with fellow Republicans state Rep. Michael Echols of Monroe and welding business owner Austin Magee of Franklin as well as Democrats Dan McKay, a Bunkie attorney, and state Rep. Pat Moore of Monroe. Candidates in the field…
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8%28%
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
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Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
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Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions