Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
MD-08 House election: Cheryl Riley vote percent
The odds
17.09%median
6%30%
Median 17.09%Middle half 14.23% – 19.94%
How the odds have moved
Median: 17.44% on Oct 24, 17.09% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 14% | 77% | $1.30 | 2.8K | |||
| At least 22% | 7% | 90¢ | $1.11 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MD- House, Cheryl Riley
Search ›- Jawando, Raskin celebrate in Bethesda after polls closeWill Jawando (D) and Jamie Raskin (D) celebrated in Bethesda as unofficial voting results started rolling in after polls closed Tuesday. “This is a surreal moment, it feels like I’ve kind of been floating all day,” Jawando said to a room…
- Jamie Raskin projected winner of reelection campaign to Congress in Maryland’s 8th DistrictRaskin defeated Republican Cheryl Riley with 82.7% of votes as of 10:31 p.m. Tuesday, according to the Maryland State Board of Elections unofficial results. He held his election night watch party in Bethesda, where news of the projected…
- Early returns favor incumbents and Democrats across the boardThe numbers are far from official with 143 of 257 precincts reporting, but the trends definitely favor Democrats and incumbents. At the state level Gov. Wes Moore and Lt. Governor Aruna Miller were declared projected winners only moments…
- Maryland keeps seven Democratic House seats, one Republican(The Center Square) – Maryland voters kept the state’s congressional delegation split between seven Democrats and one Republican Tuesday, electing a successor to longtime U.S. Rep. Steny Hoyer and returning seven incumbents. Democrat…
- Amid blue wave in Congress, Raskin poised to chair House Judiciary CommitteeRep. Jamie Raskin (D-Takoma Park) was easily re-elected to a sixth term in the U.S. House of Representatives Tuesday—positioning him to become one of the highest profile members of that chamber when the new Congress takes office in…
- Josh Shapiro wins second term as Pennsylvania governorDemocratic Gov. Josh Shapiro won a second term Tuesday, defeating Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity in a race that focused on Pennsylvania’s economy, energy policy and the direction of state government. Garrity told supporters at…
- Killin’s Tax Break Explains Residential LiesPaperwork is a stubborn S.O.B. It doesn’t campaign. It doesn’t knock on doors, cut TV ads, or grin for the camera at a house party. It just sits there and tells the truth. Jessica Killin’s paperwork says she lives in Maryland. Not Colorado…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions