Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
MD-08 House election: Nancy Wallace vote percent
The odds
2.29%median
0%7%
Median 2.29%Middle half 1.64% – 2.75%
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.71% on Oct 20, 2.29% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1% | 91% | $1.10 | 3.8K | |||
| At least 2% | 66% | $1.52 | 317 | |||
| At least 3% | 11% | 90¢ | $1.11 | 927 | ||
| At least 4% | 11% | $9.09 | 3.8K | |||
| At least 5% | 11% | $9.09 | 1.4K | |||
| At least 6% | 11% | $9.09 | 16.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MD- House, Nancy Wallace
Search ›- Jamie Raskin Wins Maryland's 8th District ReelectionThe Times' broader results page for Maryland's 2026 election also lists Raskin as the incumbent Democrat facing off against Riley, listed there as the Republican candidate. A separate report from WBAL aligns with the Times, stating plainly…
- Maryland keeps seven Democratic House seats, one Republican(The Center Square) – Maryland voters kept the state’s congressional delegation split between seven Democrats and one Republican Tuesday, electing a successor to longtime U.S. Rep. Steny Hoyer and returning seven incumbents. Democrat…
- Josh Shapiro wins second term as Pennsylvania governorDemocratic Gov. Josh Shapiro won a second term Tuesday, defeating Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity in a race that focused on Pennsylvania’s economy, energy policy and the direction of state government. Garrity told supporters at…
- Maryland US Midterm Election 2026: Check Voting Date, Result Date and Full List of Governor and US House Candidates Contesting Across Eight DistrictsMaryland will vote in the 2026 US Midterm Elections on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Voters will elect their governor, choose representatives for all eight US House districts, and decide several state and local contests. The election will…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions