Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
ME-01 House election: Ronald Russell vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
34.5%median
30%42%
Median 34.5%
How the odds have moved
Median: 35.24% on Oct 20, 34.5% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 32% | 64% | $1.56 | 200 | |||
| At least 34% | 64% | $1.56 | 4.2K | |||
| At least 36% | 8% | $13.33 | 7.00 | |||
| At least 38% | 8% | $13.33 | 205 | |||
| At least 40% | 2% | $50.00 | 205 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: ME- House, Ronald Russell
Search ›- Harpswell voters send Golek back to House, continue support for DemocratsHarpswell voters continued the town’s recent trend, backing Democratic candidates by lopsided margins across the ballot on Tuesday. State Rep. Cheryl Golek, a second-term Democrat who lives on Harpswell Neck, received 2,229 votes to 1,313…
- Vassalboro voting results (November 2026)Vassalboro voters turned down two of the five articles on their Nov. 3 local ballot, the two intended to help fund revitalization of the town office staff. The first rejected article asked approval to use up to $20,000 from the town’s…
- Maine Elects Hannah Pingree Governor, Jackson Unseats CollinsMainers turned out at the polls on Tuesday to elect Hannah Pingree as the next Governor, and elect new leadership to the U.S.Senate. In a contentious campaign season, negative advertising and heated debates between candidates in several…
- Mount Desert Island Region Election ResultsThe Bar Harbor Story is generously sponsored by the Don & Beth Straus Center at Birch Bay Village. MOUNT DESERT ISLAND REGION—The election results are in for Hancock County. Here’s what we know this morning. The school reorganization plan…
- November election results from Maine and the US, at a glancePolls have now closed in some states, and control of Congress hangs in the balance. Prediction markets and polling firms showed Democrats as heavy favorites to take control of the U.S. House of Representatives, and surveys show they’re…
- Election Day is Tuesday. Here’s what Mainers need to knowVoters across Maine will have one last opportunity to cast their ballots on Tuesday in state and local elections this cycle, which includes races for U.S. Senate, Maine’s two congressional seats and governor. Whether Mainers are voting on…
- How ranked-choice voting could affect Maine’s US Senate and House racesOnly two names will appear on ballots for U.S. Senate and U.S. House. But ranked-choice voting could still factor into the results of two of Maine’s three congressional races. That’s because the Senate and 2nd Congressional District races…
- Harpswell voters to vote for county, state and federal officials TuesdayHarpswell voters will choose officials at the county, state and federal levels in the upcoming general election, but there will be no municipal candidates or local referendum questions on the ballot. Town Clerk Cathy Doughty confirmed the…
- Janet Mills says she voted for Troy Jackson in U.S. Senate raceGov. Janet Mills said she voted in Farmington on Thursday, and she shared her picks on social media. The Democratic governor voted exclusively for her party’s candidates, including for Troy Jackson in the U.S. Senate race, whom she had not…
- Janet Mills says she voted for Troy Jackson for US SenateGov. Janet Mills said on Thursday that she voted for Troy Jackson for U.S. Senate. But Mills did not offer a direct endorsement for the 58-year-old former state Senate president, who is locked in a tight race against five-term Republican…
- Maine students pick Troy Jackson and Hannah Pingree in mock electionResults are in from mock elections held at 115 schools across the state on Oct. 27. This year, the students voted for governor, U.S. senator and both of Maine's seats in the U.S. House of Representatives. The Maine Secretary of State's…
- Results in for Maine student mock electionAUGUSTA, Maine (WABI) - Maine students have made their voices heard. The Secretary of State’s Office has released results from Tuesday’s statewide mock election. In the race for governor, Democrat Hannah Pingree led with about 42% of the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions