Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
MI-02 House election: John Moolenaar vote percent
The odds
78%At least 60%
- At least 60%78%
How the odds have moved
At least 60%: 67% on Oct 20, 78% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Nov 3, 9 PM ETAt least 60%: 66% → 78%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
The news: MI- House, John Moolenaar
Search ›- House Republicans demand answers from Nvidia CEO over reported Chinese spy ties'The Big Money Show' panel discusses China's espionage threat targeting tech companies amid a report of a spy plot targeting Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang and the nation's struggling economy. House Republicans are demanding answers from Nvidia…
- Republican John Moolenaar wins reelection to U.S. House in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional DistrictWASHINGTON (AP) — Republican John Moolenaar wins reelection to U.S. House in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District.
- NVIDIA Board Opens Review After Reported Foreign Intelligence EffortNVIDIA’s board announced on November 8, 2026 that it was initiating an independent investigation after recent reporting that founder and CEO Jensen Huang had been targeted by a foreign intelligence effort. The statement did not establish…
- Nvidia Probes China Spy Claims As CEO Jensen Huang Admits AffairNvidia's board announced an independent investigation Sunday after reports that Chinese intelligence targeted CEO Jensen Huang. In a separate message to employees, Huang acknowledged that he had been unfaithful to his wife. A committee of…
- Nvidia's Huang is asked to brief Congress on reported Chinese spy relationshipThree House Republican committee leaders asked Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang to sit for a closed-door briefing on his relationship with a tech executive reportedly identified as a Chinese intelligence asset. "Recent reports raise significant…
- House chairs ask Nvidia’s Jensen Huang to explain reported spy linkThey want a closed-door briefing on 18 November about his contacts with a former Megaspeed executive. NVIDIA founder and CEO Jensen Huang during his GTC 2026 keynote at the SAP Center in San Jose, 16 March 2026 John Moolenaar, Brian Mast…
- Nvidia’s CEO, an alleged romance and a suspected Chinese spy: Congress wants answersThe reported intelligence memo adds detail to an earlier House briefing request, with an answer sought by November 11. Congress is seeking answers about Nvidia’s defenses against espionage as Financial Times reporting describes an…
- U.S. Congress Presses Nvidia's Jensen Huang Over Contacts With Alleged Chinese SpyAlice Huang Suspected of Gathering AI Chip Intelligence for China's Ministry of State Security House Panels Want Jensen Huang to Explain Contacts and Nvidia's Security Safeguards House Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Brian Mast, House…
- Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Asked To Brief US Congress Over China Spy Allegations, November 18 Meeting SoughtJensen Huang, the CEO of Nvidia Corporation, has been summoned to a closed-door hearing on November 18 in the United States by lawmakers due to claims surrounding a Chinese businesswoman accused of leaking information to the Chinese…
- Nvidia pushes back after Jensen Huang asked to closed-door meeting in Congress over ties to ChineseNvidia has pushed back after chief executive Jensen Huang was asked to appear before the US Congress to discuss his interactions with an alleged Chinese intelligence asset. A representative for the powerful US-based AI and chip design…
- Lawmakers press Air Force on civilian cuts at China aerospace instituteLawmakers on the House Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party are pressing the Air Force for answers on its decision to cut all civilian positions at the service’s China Aerospace Studies Institute. In a Nov. 4 letter to Air Force…
- NVIDIA’s Jensen Huang Summoned By U.S. Congress For A Closed Door Briefing To Address His Interactions With An Executive That’s In The Federal Spy Probe’s CrosshairsNVIDIA has spent the last several years trying to balance its status as the world’s dominant force in artificial intelligence with strict United States export regulations. Unfortunately, these efforts might not have borne fruit as the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions