Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
MI-09 House election: Lisa McClain vote percent
The odds
61.41%median
50%72%
Median 61.41%Middle half 58.98% – 63.85%
How the odds have moved
Median: 62.7% on Oct 20, 61.41% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 58% | 85% | $1.18 | 1.9K | |||
| At least 66% | 3% | $33.33 | 7.00 | |||
| At least 68% | 3% | $33.33 | 402 | |||
| At least 70% | 3% | $33.33 | 202 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MI- House, Lisa McClain
Search ›- Rep Lisa McClain argues half the midterm polls are 'wrong'Fox News Rep Lisa McClain argues half the midterm polls are 'wrong' House Republican Conference chair Rep. Lisa McClain, R-Mich., joins 'America Reports' to discuss the 2026 midterm election polls and how her state's voters are feeling…
- Republican Lisa McClain wins reelection to U.S. House in Michigan's 9th Congressional DistrictDemocrat Brad Sherman wins reelection to U.S. House in California's 32nd Congressional District - Republican Steve Womack wins reelection to U.S. House in Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District - Democrat Jimmy Panetta wins reelection to…
- INTERVIEW: Rep. Lisa McClain lays out “common sense versus communist crazy” election in her backyard in Port HuronPort Huron, Mich. — For the first time ever, a sitting President of the United States visited Port Huron, Michigan, and Rep. Lisa McClain (R., Mich.) had a front row seat to the visit, which took place in the heart of her district. McClain…
- Christina Hines, Michael Bouchard vie to replace John James in Michigan's 10th congressional districtNovember 3, 2026 / 6:55 AM EST / CBS Detroit After winning the primary elections in their respective parties, both candidates have been competing to win the most votes ahead of the November midterm. The district, which is a two-year term…
- Republican Larry Rhoden wins reelection for governor in South DakotaDemocrat Brad Sherman wins reelection to U.S. House in California's 32nd Congressional District - Republican Steve Womack wins reelection to U.S. House in Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District - Democrat Jimmy Panetta wins reelection to…
- Democrat Brad Sherman wins reelection to U.S. House in California's 32nd Congressional DistrictDemocrat Brad Sherman wins reelection to U.S. House in California's 32nd Congressional District - Republican Steve Womack wins reelection to U.S. House in Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District - Democrat Jimmy Panetta wins reelection to…
- Democrat Laura Friedman wins reelection to U.S. House in California's 30th Congressional DistrictDemocrat Brad Sherman wins reelection to U.S. House in California's 32nd Congressional District - Republican Steve Womack wins reelection to U.S. House in Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District - Democrat Jimmy Panetta wins reelection to…
- Democrat Jimmy Panetta wins reelection to U.S. House in California's 19th Congressional DistrictDemocrat Brad Sherman wins reelection to U.S. House in California's 32nd Congressional District - Republican Steve Womack wins reelection to U.S. House in Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District - Democrat Jimmy Panetta wins reelection to…
- Democrat Nikki Budzinski wins reelection to U.S. House in Illinois' 13th Congressional DistrictDemocrat Brad Sherman wins reelection to U.S. House in California's 32nd Congressional District - Republican Steve Womack wins reelection to U.S. House in Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District - Democrat Jimmy Panetta wins reelection to…
- Republican Steve Womack wins reelection to U.S. House in Arkansas' 3rd Congressional DistrictDemocrat Brad Sherman wins reelection to U.S. House in California's 32nd Congressional District - Republican Steve Womack wins reelection to U.S. House in Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District - Democrat Jimmy Panetta wins reelection to…
- Democrat Juan Vargas wins reelection to U.S. House in California's 52nd Congressional DistrictDemocrat Brad Sherman wins reelection to U.S. House in California's 32nd Congressional District - Republican Steve Womack wins reelection to U.S. House in Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District - Democrat Jimmy Panetta wins reelection to…
- Democrat James Talarico wins election to U.S. Senate from TexasDemocrat James Talarico won election Tuesday to the U.S. Senate representing Texas, defeating Republican Ken Paxton. Talaricoâs victory represents the first time a Democrat has won a statewide office in Texas since 1994, a shakeup for a…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions