Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
MI-11 House election: Jeremy Moss vote percent
The odds
30%At least 62%
58%70%
How the odds have moved
At least 62%: 30% on Oct 20, 30% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Nov 3, 9 PM ETAt least 62%: 47% → 30%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 62% | 30% | $3.33 | 4.4K | |||
| At least 66% | 10% | $10.00 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MI- House, Jeremy Moss
Search ›- Jeremy Moss, Ethan Baker face off in Michigan's 11th District to replace StevensNovember 3, 2026 / 7:30 AM EST / CBS Detroit After Michigan state Sen. Jeremy Moss won Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary with 75,449 votes, he is facing Republican candidate Ethan Baker, the mayor of Troy, who ran…
- A New Class of Jewish Democrats Could Reshape Congress' Approach to IsraelFrom Brad Lander to Jeremy Moss, the likely new cohort of Jewish lawmakers reflect the widening spectrum of opinion on Israel within the Democratic Party, and could play a role in efforts to restrict arms transfers and sanction West Bank…
- 2026 Candidate Interviews: Congress 11th DistrictOakland County, MI – In the race for Congress in the 11th District there are five candidates on the ballot: Republican Ethan Baker, Democrat Jeremy Moss, Libertarian Farid Ishac, Green Party Candidate Ryan Teasdale, and Anil Kumar who has…
- Some Michigan Jewish Democrats disavow Stevens over endorsement of El-Sayed’s GOP rivalMeanwhile, other Jewish community leaders recommended rejecting both candidates by writing in Jewish poet Emma Lazarus on their ballots. Key Jewish Democratic figures denounced pro-Israel U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens’ endorsement of Republican…
- Is Haley Stevens leaving Congress? What to know about her seat and futureOver the weekend, Michigan Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens threw a last-minute curve ball into the midterms when she endorsed the Republican candidate in her home state's Senate race, the outcome of which will be key in determining which…
- Some Michigan Jewish Democrats denounce Stevens over endorsementKey Jewish Democratic figures denounced pro-Israel US Rep. Haley Stevens’ endorsement of Republican Mike Rogers for Michigan’s open US Senate seat on Sunday. Some, including Michigan congressional candidate Jeremy Moss, spoke at a press…
- Obama defends Abdul El-Sayed against attacks targeting his Muslim faith: ‘We have seen this movie before’The former president said efforts to portray El-Sayed as dangerous or less American echoed attacks he faced during his own political rise. Barack Obama defended Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed against attacks targeting his name…
- LCV Action Fund Announces Latest Endorsements for U.S. House of RepresentativesAction Fund, which works to elect candidates who will fight to lower energy costs, build a clean energy economy, and strengthen our democracy for all, announced endorsements for six candidates running ... LCV Action Fund Announces Latest…
- El-Sayed Says Israel Is ‘Not Our Friend,’ Giving Rogers New Ammunition in Tight Michigan Senate RaceMichigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed said Israel is “not our friend,” remarks that Republicans quickly seized on in one of the closest Senate races in the country. Asked by ABC News’ Linsey Davis whether he considers Israel an…
- The Mystery Voter Guide Using Democrats To Elect Mike RogersThe GOP’s Mike Rogers curiously joins other Democrats on a “pro-democracy” flyer distributed in Michigan. This is a web version of “I’m not here to defend myself. I’m here to defend all the folks whose lives are made worse by this…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions