Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
MI-13 House election: Donavan McKinney vote percent
The odds
73.71%median
62%80%
Median 73.71%
How the odds have moved
Median: 73.19% on Oct 20, 73.71% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 68% | 89% | $1.12 | 4.1K | |||
| At least 74% | 48% | 94¢ | $1.06 | 309 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MI- House, Donavan McKinney
Search ›- Could DSA Members Be Blocked from Congress? Obscure Rule Explained.Oct 30, 2026 at 03:32 PM EDT Oct 30, 2026 at 04:25 PM EDT Republican lawmakers are considering challenging newly elected socialists from taking their seats in Congress after next week's midterm elections. Republican Representative Keith…
- Voters In Key Swing States Sound Off On AOC’s ‘Democratic Socialists’A majority of swing-state voters surveyed by a conservative grassroots organization hold unfavorable views of socialism as democratic socialist candidates seek congressional gains Tuesday. Americans for Prosperity found 56% of roughly…
- Meet the ‘socialist' progressive Democrats likely on their way to Congress(From left) Chris Rabb, Darializa Avila Chevalier and Donavan McKinney. There's been a lot of talk this midterm election season about socialism, but only a handful of candidates running for Congress actually align with the far-left wing of…
- Socialism on the ballot: Races to watch in the DSA orbit as the ‘squad’ may expandThe Democratic Socialists of America has endorsed 255 candidates and… (The Daily Signal) – Socialism is on the ballot in the midterm elections, and not just in high-profile congressional races. The Democratic Socialists of America has…
- The DSA Could Quadruple Its Congressional Representation in the Midterms.The far-left Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) have endorsed several Democrat candidates for the midterm elections. How many candidates has the DSA endorsed, where are they standing, and what does this mean for Congress? The DSA and…
- Left-Wing House ‘Bloc’ Plots First Moves If Dems Retake HouseDemocratic leader Hakeem Jeffries faces a potential rebellion from left-wing candidates preparing to demand concessions before supporting his potential speaker bid. The internal pressure campaign could complicate Democrats’ plans even if…
- Obama cozies up to Dem Party's socialist wing as former president makes surprising midterm movesFormer President Barack Obama joins Democratic candidates Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson at a campaign rally in Detroit. Former President Barack Obama is increasingly throwing his political weight behind socialist and socialist-aligned…
- These Michigan races could help decide control of CongressLANSING — A national battle for control of the US House is playing out in Michigan, where Democrats are attempting to flip at least three Republican seats and put a check on President Donald Trump during the final two years of his term…
- The Metro: Donavan McKinney hopes to inject more humanity in politics“Never fight the urge to give” is the motto driving the Democratic state Representative and Congressional primary winner. State Rep. Donavan McKinney won the Democratic Primary for Michigan's 13th Congressional District, defeating…
- The Machine Behind the Democratic Party’s Radical TransformationFollow the Money: The Donors, Politicians and PACs Seeking to Bring Down the “American Empire”. WATCH to find out what’s inside our latest report A network of far-left political action committees (PACs) is working with Islamic groups to…
- The Socialists Want to Hold Congress HostageNot sure what fits? A licensed AMAC advisor will walk you through it, at no cost. If Democrats win the House by a few seats, DSA-backed members want to withhold their votes from Jeffries unless he agrees to defund ICE and end aid to…
- Indian American Candidates Battle GOP’s Immigration Backlash, Dems Progressive ChallengersWASHINGTON, DC- Indian American candidates heading into the November 3 midterm elections face challenges in both parties, with Republicans campaigning amid a party-wide backlash against H-1B visas and several Democrats losing primaries to…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions