Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
MN-05 House election: Ilhan Omar vote percent
The odds
76.93%median
68%88%
Median 76.93%Middle half 76.35% – 77.51%
How the odds have moved
Median: 77.27% on Oct 20, 76.93% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 70% | 99% | 75¢ | $1.01 | 2.0K | ||
| At least 72% | 90% | $1.11 | 144 | |||
| At least 74% | 90% | $1.11 | 1.1K | |||
| At least 76% | 90% | 60¢ | $1.11 | 1.2K | ||
| At least 78% | 4% | 49¢ | $2.04 | 715 | ||
| At least 80% | 4% | $25.00 | 1.7K | |||
| At least 82% | 3% | 63¢ | $1.59 | 4.3K | ||
| At least 84% | 2% | 29¢ | $3.45 | 6.2K | ||
| At least 86% | 1% | 15¢ | $6.67 | 4.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MN- House, Ilhan Omar
Search ›- 'I'm Glad This Process Is Complete': Rep. Ilhan Omar Ordered To Pay Thousands For Campaign Finance ViolationsJune 6, 2019 / 9:19 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota MINNEAPOLIS (WCCO) -- A state elections ethics board concluded Thursday that Democratic United States Representative Ilhan Omar misspent more than $3,400 of campaign money while serving in the…
- AI graphic falsely inflates Ilhan Omar's win in US midtermsUS Democratic Congresswoman Ilhan Omar overwhelmingly won reelection in the 2026 midterms, but a graphic shared on social media supposedly showing she won 99 percent of the vote in her district is fabricated. She actually beat her…
- Vance's War On Fraud! Ilhan Omar Warned As Trump’s VP Sounds Alarm Over Federal Fraud After MidtermsUS Vice President JD Vance has renewed his focus on federal funding fraud following the 2026 midterm elections, warning that taxpayer money intended for American small businesses must not end up in the hands of fraudsters. Speaking at a…
- Opinion | The Trump administration’s vendetta against Ilhan Omar is even worse than it seemsWielding the power of law enforcement against political opponents is bad enough. But the Trump administration’s legal vendetta against Representative Ilhan Omar also reflects something more ominous: an ongoing effort to strip naturalized…
- Ilhan Omar celebrates RECORD number of Muslims in CongressRep. Ilhan Omar celebrates Abdul El-Sayed’s election victory, pointing to the possibility that eight Muslims could soon serve in Congress. Ilhan Omar celebrates RECORD number of Muslims in Congress Rep. Ilhan Omar celebrates Abdul…
- Gregg Jarrett: Ilhan Omar’s re-election is ‘vindication of nothing’Fox News Gregg Jarrett: Ilhan Omar’s re-election is ‘vindication of nothing’ Fox News legal analyst Gregg Jarrett discusses the federal investigation into Rep. Ilhan Omar's, D-Minn., finances and immigration documents following her…
- ‘This is little Somalia now’: Sara Gonzales rips Ilhan Omar’s Somalian victory speechOmar's celebration included dancing with her Somalian supporters — and giving a speech entirely in Somalian. Ilhan Omar has won another term in Congress, but her victory celebration was anything but American. “Just to kind of underscore…
- ‘TABLES TURNED?’: Ilhan Omar Rubs Midterms Victory In Trump’s Face Amid Minnesota ‘Fraud’ ProbeDemocratic Congresswoman Ilhan Omar has fired back at Donald Trump in a defiant post-midterm victory speech, accusing his administration of trying to intimidate and silence her. Addressing supporters in Minnesota, Omar recalled how her…
- Does Ilhan Omar Have Secret Siblings in London?Ilhan Omar has been hiding links to two of her siblings in London in an alleged bid to create further distance between her and rumored brother Ahmed Nur Said Elmi — whom she married in 2009. Multiple sources told The Post that Mohamed Nur…
- Ilhan Omar dances at victory party after winning 5th term in CongressIlhan Ilhan Omar dances at victory party after winning 5th term in Congress Fox News Ilhan Omar dances at victory party after winning 5th term in Congress Ilhan Omar breaks into a victory dance after securing a fifth term in Congress. The…
- Ilhan Omar wins re-election despite fraud investigationsFormer federal prosecutor Andrew Cherkasky discusses potential legal consequences for Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., following her reelection amid federal investigations into her immigration history. Ilhan Omar wins re-election despite fraud…
- Ilhan Omar is just the beginningAnnabelle Gordon / Reuters Three Homeland Security agents walking through Representative Omar’s neighborhood after the raid on her home. Early in the morning of Oct. 12, 2026, Congresswoman Ilhan Omar’s home was raided by Homeland Security…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions