Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
MN-05 House election: John Nagel vote percent
The odds
16.83%median
12%32%
Median 16.83%Middle half 16.18% – 17.49%
How the odds have moved
Median: 20.88% on Oct 20, 16.83% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 14% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 1.5K | ||
| At least 16% | 82% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 976 | ||
| At least 18% | 5% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 12.2K |
| At least 20% | 5% | 13¢ | $7.69 | 4.0K | ||
| At least 22% | 5% | 17¢ | $5.88 | 886 | ||
| At least 24% | 5% | 20¢ | $5.00 | 1.1K | ||
| At least 26% | 5% | 15¢ | $6.67 | 204 | ||
| At least 28% | 5% | 13¢ | $7.69 | 255 | ||
| At least 30% | 5% | 13¢ | $7.69 | 12.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MN- House, John Nagel
Search ›- MN House 2A Candidates Duran, Olson Discuss Election Before Results Come InNov 3, 2026 | By: Lakeland News MN House 2A Candidates Duran, Olson Discuss Election Before Results Come In Lakeland News is member supported content, please consider supporting Lakeland PBS today.
- JOHN NAGEL: Ilhan Omar, my opponent, had a choice and picked political theaterDays before an election, with Minnesotans voting on crime, prices and the future of their neighborhoods, Democratic Rep. Ilhan Omar had to decide who she would stand beside. She chose the far-left streamer, Hasan Piker. Omar knew all of…
- Conway, Daisane election results in St. Cloud-area MN House 14A raceVoters in Minnesota House District 14A on Nov. 3 go to polls to choose between Republican candidate Mike Conway and Democratic candidate Abdi Daisane to represent them in the state legislature. House District 14A, currently represented by…
- Other MN House Results: Newcomers Schuette and Lewis Win ElectionVoters in the CCX Media coverage area largely returned incumbent members of the Minnesota House of Representatives to their respective seats in the Nov. 3 election. Kyrstin Schuette, a DFLer and a first-time candidate, won election over…
- GOP Moorhead MN House candidate Andrew Rockhold says he would find state spending to cut once he’s in officeCourtesy: Rockhold For House MOORHEAD, Minn. (KFGO) – Republican candidate for Minnesota House District 4A Andrew Rockhold wants to eliminate state property taxes. The district covers all of Moorhead south of 15th Ave. N. “Afternoons Live”…
- Ilhan Omar's opponent 'optimistic' on election day amid Dem rep's scandalJohn Nagel says he's the only man for the job in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District as Rep. Ilhan Omar faces a federal criminal probe. Ilhan Omar's opponent 'optimistic' on election day amid Dem rep's scandal John Nagel says he's the…
- GOP GETTING DESPERATE! As Dems look to flip MN House seat, Trump-aligned PAC pumps $1.2M into raceMS NOW’s Jonathan Capehart talks to Jake Johnson, the Democratic nominee for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District, on his campaign to flip a seat that Trump won by 12 points and the Republican incumbent won by 17 points in 2024. GOP…
- Ilhan Omar wins Minnesota's 5th Congressional District race, CBS News projectsNovember 3, 2026 / 11:08 PM CST / CBS Minnesota Incumbent Democratic U.S. Rep. Ilhan Omar has secured a fifth term by defeating Republican nominee John Nagel in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District race Tuesday evening, CBS News…
- Affordability, energy and taxes dominates local MN House, Senate forumCandidates for the Minnesota Senate District 30 and the Minnesota House Districts 30A and 30B debated affordability and energy policies at the Elk River Chamber of Commerce candidate forum on Sept. 23, 2026. Sen. Eric Lucero, the incumbent…
- Ilhan Omar Gets Biggest Election Win in 8 Years After ICE Raided Her HomeNov 04, 2026 at 08:42 AM EST House Democrat Ilhan Omar has pulled off her biggest electoral win since 2018 in Minnesota’s 5th congressional district less than a month after her Washington, D.C., home was raided by Homeland Security…
- Rep. Ilhan Omar cruises back to Congress despite immigration fraud probe threatening to deport herRep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) cruised to re-election Tuesday night, even as the Trump administration is building an immigration fraud case aimed at stripping her of citizenship and kicking her out of the country. Omar was elected to a fifth…
- Scandal-plagued Ilhan Omar easily secures 5th term in deep blue Minnesota despite immigration fraud probeRep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., faces renewed scrutiny as some House Democrats decline to support ending an immigration probe. Attorney Julian Epstein highlights that the marriage fraud investigation dates back to the Obama administration…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions