Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
MN-06 House election: Tom Emmer vote percent
The odds
56.83%median
46%62%
Median 56.83%Middle half 54.14% – 58.67%
How the odds have moved
Median: 57% on Oct 20, 56.83% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 95% | $1.05 | 1.3K | |||
| At least 54% | 76% | $1.32 | 1.7K | |||
| At least 56% | 62% | $1.61 | 6.4K | |||
| At least 58% | 33% | $3.03 | 866 | |||
| At least 60% | 9% | 90¢ | $1.11 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MN- House, Tom Emmer
Search ›- Tom Emmer wins reelection in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District race, CBS News projectsNovember 4, 2026 / 6:54 AM CST / CBS Minnesota Emmer, the third-highest-ranking member of Congress, has represented the district since 2015. He won decisively over Michael Foley and Chris Corey in August's primary. He was endorsed by the…
- MN House Leader RespondsMy KLGR (St. Paul, MN) – Now that the dust has settled and Minnesota is once again under a Democratic trifecta of control, House Republican Leader Harry Niska has issued a statement. Niska said, “House Democrats campaigned on free…
- Voters in St. Cloud elect Somali-American man to MN House(St. Cloud, MN) -- Abdi Daisane is set to become the first Somali American to represent central Minnesota in the state Legislature. St. Cloud LIVE reports the DFL candidate won about 52 percent of the vote Tuesday, defeating Republican St…
- Rep Tom Emmer says Vance has been campaign 'workhorse' during midtermsFox News Rep Tom Emmer says Vance has been campaign 'workhorse' during midterms House Majority Whip Tom Emmer discusses Vice President JD Vance's "incredibly impressive" schedule on the campaign trail, Republican turnout and the tight…
- MN House 2A Candidates Duran, Olson Discuss Election Before Results Come InNov 3, 2026 | By: Lakeland News MN House 2A Candidates Duran, Olson Discuss Election Before Results Come In Lakeland News is member supported content, please consider supporting Lakeland PBS today.
- Igo returns to MN House for 4th term as District 7A repState Rep. Spencer Igo of Wabana Township will return to Minnesota House after defeating Emily McCabe Ningen of Hibbing in the District 7A race. Republican incumbent Igo, 30, was first elected to office in 2020. In the latest term, he…
- Tom Emmer Calls for Common Sense in Minnesota Senate RaceTom Emmer urges Minnesota voters to choose Michele Tafoya for Senate. This election could reshape state politics — here's why it matters. Tom Emmer emphasizes common sense in Minnesota's Senate race. Michele Tafoya gains support from key…
- Other MN House Results: Newcomers Schuette and Lewis Win ElectionVoters in the CCX Media coverage area largely returned incumbent members of the Minnesota House of Representatives to their respective seats in the Nov. 3 election. Kyrstin Schuette, a DFLer and a first-time candidate, won election over…
- Reporter's Notebook: A user’s manual to upcoming leadership elections in the House and SenateSeveral newly elected Democratic senators suggest they are not committed to supporting Sen. Chuck Schumer as Senate Majority Leader. Fox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on the Democratic Party’s priorities and…
- Conway, Daisane election results in St. Cloud-area MN House 14A raceVoters in Minnesota House District 14A on Nov. 3 go to polls to choose between Republican candidate Mike Conway and Democratic candidate Abdi Daisane to represent them in the state legislature. House District 14A, currently represented by…
- GOP Moorhead MN House candidate Andrew Rockhold says he would find state spending to cut once he’s in officeCourtesy: Rockhold For House MOORHEAD, Minn. (KFGO) – Republican candidate for Minnesota House District 4A Andrew Rockhold wants to eliminate state property taxes. The district covers all of Moorhead south of 15th Ave. N. “Afternoons Live”…
- Another GOP civil war erupts as two Trump allies fight to lead Republicans in a lame duck Congress… but the president refuses to support anyoneBy SAMANTHA LOREN, US POLITICAL REPORTER 'Anyone who was a part of what just happened shouldn't be in power.' That was the blunt verdict from one conservative House aide as Republicans picked through the wreckage of their midterm drubbing…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 6 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions