Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
MN-07 House election: Michelle Fischbach vote percent
The odds
90%At least 58%
56%62%
How the odds have moved
At least 58%: 92% on Oct 24, 90% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Nov 3, 9 PM ETAt least 58%: 93% → 88%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 58% | 90% | 98¢ | $1.02 | 18.00 | ||
| At least 60% | 90% | $1.11 | 4.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MN- House, Michelle Fischbach
Search ›- Michelle Fischbach wins Minnesota's 7th Congressional District race, CBS News projectsNovember 3, 2026 / 10:16 PM CST / CBS Minnesota Republican Rep. Michelle Fischbach has won reelection to a fourth term in Minnesota's 7th Congressional District, CBS News projects. Fischbach defeated DFL nominee Erik Osberg, who owns a…
- Incumbent Rep. Michelle Fischbach wins Minnesota's 7th District race, CBS News projectsUpdated on: November 6, 2024 / 12:00 AM CST / CBS Minnesota MINNEAPOLIS — Republican Rep. Michelle Fischbach will continue to serve Minnesota's 7th Congressional District after defeating Democratic challenger A. John Peters, CBS News…
- Voters in St. Cloud elect Somali-American man to MN House(St. Cloud, MN) -- Abdi Daisane is set to become the first Somali American to represent central Minnesota in the state Legislature. St. Cloud LIVE reports the DFL candidate won about 52 percent of the vote Tuesday, defeating Republican St…
- MN House Leader RespondsMy KLGR (St. Paul, MN) – Now that the dust has settled and Minnesota is once again under a Democratic trifecta of control, House Republican Leader Harry Niska has issued a statement. Niska said, “House Democrats campaigned on free…
- Rep. Michelle Fischbach Wins Reelection in Minnesota’s 7th Congressional DistrictMOORHEAD, Minn. — Republican incumbent Rep. Michelle Fischbach has secured reelection to the U.S. House of Representatives in Minnesota’s 7th Congressional District, turning back a challenge from Democrat Erik Osberg. The Associated Press…
- Igo returns to MN House for 4th term as District 7A repState Rep. Spencer Igo of Wabana Township will return to Minnesota House after defeating Emily McCabe Ningen of Hibbing in the District 7A race. Republican incumbent Igo, 30, was first elected to office in 2020. In the latest term, he…
- MN House 2A Candidates Duran, Olson Discuss Election Before Results Come InNov 3, 2026 | By: Lakeland News MN House 2A Candidates Duran, Olson Discuss Election Before Results Come In Lakeland News is member supported content, please consider supporting Lakeland PBS today.
- Other MN House Results: Newcomers Schuette and Lewis Win ElectionVoters in the CCX Media coverage area largely returned incumbent members of the Minnesota House of Representatives to their respective seats in the Nov. 3 election. Kyrstin Schuette, a DFLer and a first-time candidate, won election over…
- ‘We once again saved America from herself’: LaTosha Brown on Black voters’ powerMS NOW ‘We once again saved America from herself’: LaTosha Brown on Black voters’ power Texas-sized ‘ass kicking’ sends GOP Sen. Ted Cruz spiraling after the midterms Lawrence: Democrats tell Trump, ‘Enough is enough.’ Trump sounds like he…
- Texas-sized ‘ass kicking’ sends GOP Sen. Ted Cruz spiraling after the midtermsFollowing Texas Democrats’ historic midterm election victories, MS NOW’s Jonathan Capehart talks to Democratic Texas State Rep. Trey Martinez Fischer about how his party plans to govern the Lone Star State in this newly blue state moving…
- This Was Brainerd - Nov. 720 years ago (2006) In yesterday’s election, John Ward pulled an upset by unseating incumbent Paul Gazelka for the MN House District 12A seat. But the race of the night was for Crow Wing County Sheriff, where challenger Todd Dahl defeated…
- Northern Minnesotakvrr.com There was a problem reporting this. Keep it Clean. Please avoid obscene, vulgar, lewd, racist or sexually-oriented language. - Live analysis of all the races, including Minnesota's history-making leadership decision - Domestic…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions