Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
MN-08 House election: Trina Swanson vote percent
The odds
45.65%median
38%54%
Median 45.65%Middle half 43.11% – 48.18%
How the odds have moved
Median: 45.93% on Oct 20, 45.65% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 86% | $1.16 | 384 | |||
| At least 42% | 86% | $1.16 | 6.5K | |||
| At least 50% | 7% | $14.29 | 5.00 | |||
| At least 52% | 3% | $33.33 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MN- House, Trina Swanson
Search ›- Pete Stauber defeats challenger Trina Swanson in Minnesota's 8th Congressional District race, CBS News projectsNovember 4, 2026 / 6:57 AM CST / CBS Minnesota Republican Rep. Pete Stauber has secured his fifth term representing Minnesota's 8th Congressional District, CBS News projects. The Duluth native and former hockey player was first elected to…
- MN House 2A Candidates Duran, Olson Discuss Election Before Results Come InNov 3, 2026 | By: Lakeland News MN House 2A Candidates Duran, Olson Discuss Election Before Results Come In Lakeland News is member supported content, please consider supporting Lakeland PBS today.
- 2026 Free Air: Trina Swanson (D) U.S. House Minnesota District 8This election season, WDIO has offered candidates a chance to speak directly to the voters prior to Election Day. 2026 Free Air: Trina Swanson (D) U.S. House Minnesota District 8 2026 Candidate Free Air Time: U.S. House Minnesota District…
- Conway, Daisane election results in St. Cloud-area MN House 14A raceVoters in Minnesota House District 14A on Nov. 3 go to polls to choose between Republican candidate Mike Conway and Democratic candidate Abdi Daisane to represent them in the state legislature. House District 14A, currently represented by…
- Other MN House Results: Newcomers Schuette and Lewis Win ElectionVoters in the CCX Media coverage area largely returned incumbent members of the Minnesota House of Representatives to their respective seats in the Nov. 3 election. Kyrstin Schuette, a DFLer and a first-time candidate, won election over…
- GOP Moorhead MN House candidate Andrew Rockhold says he would find state spending to cut once he’s in officeCourtesy: Rockhold For House MOORHEAD, Minn. (KFGO) – Republican candidate for Minnesota House District 4A Andrew Rockhold wants to eliminate state property taxes. The district covers all of Moorhead south of 15th Ave. N. “Afternoons Live”…
- GOP GETTING DESPERATE! As Dems look to flip MN House seat, Trump-aligned PAC pumps $1.2M into raceMS NOW’s Jonathan Capehart talks to Jake Johnson, the Democratic nominee for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District, on his campaign to flip a seat that Trump won by 12 points and the Republican incumbent won by 17 points in 2024. GOP…
- Affordability, energy and taxes dominates local MN House, Senate forumCandidates for the Minnesota Senate District 30 and the Minnesota House Districts 30A and 30B debated affordability and energy policies at the Elk River Chamber of Commerce candidate forum on Sept. 23, 2026. Sen. Eric Lucero, the incumbent…
- MN DFL candidates share last message to Duluth voters ahead of midterm electionsDULUTH, Minn. (Northern News Now) - Minnesota DFL’ers made their last push to voters in northern Minnesota on Sunday. Minnesota gubernatorial candidate and current U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar, her running mate Ben Schierer, Secretary of…
- Live election results: Minnesota 8th Congressional DistrictTrina Swanson (left) and Rep. Pete Stauber (right) (Supplied) (FOX 9) - Republican incumbent Pete Stauber is facing Democrat Trina Swanson in the race for Minnesota's Eighth Congressional District. Minnesota's Eight Congressional District…
- Rep. Pete Stauber wins Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District raceDULUTH, Minn. (Northern News Now) - House Representative Republican Pete Stauber won the race for Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District on Nov. 3, defeating his democratic challenger Trina Swanson, according to unofficial results from the…
- Stauber defeats Swanson in 8th Congressional District raceHERMANTOWN — U.S. Rep. Pete Stauber will return to Washington for a fifth term. The incumbent Republican Congressman defeated DFL candidate Trina Swanson in the 8th Congressional District race. Both candidates are from Hermantown. Stauber…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions