Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
MO-01 House election: Wesley Bell vote percent
The odds
80%At least 76%
72%78%
How the odds have moved
At least 74%: 89% on Oct 20, 93% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 74% | 93% | 2¢ | $1.08 | 7.6K | ||
| At least 76% | 80% | 2¢ | $1.25 | 3.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MO- House, Wesley Bell
Search ›- Democrat Wesley Bell wins reelection to U.S. House in Missouri's 1st Congressional DistrictRepublican Ed Gallrein wins election to U.S. House in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District - Democrat Mary Scanlon wins reelection to U.S. House in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District - Democrat Summer Lee wins reelection to U.S…
- Republicans and Democrats unite in call for Pope Leo to address CongressThe bipartisan letter was signed by 91 members of Congress, including Republicans and Democrats, and invokes Pope Francis’s historic address to Congress in 2015 A bipartisan group of 91 US lawmakers have asked Pope Leo XIV to visit the…
- Cori Bush registers as paid foreign agent after labeling AIPAC a ‘foreign actor’“AIPAC, I’m coming to tear your kingdom down.” Former Democratic Rep. Cori Bush has registered as a foreign agent for work organizing delegations to the West Bank and Gaza, after her own campaign accused the American Israel Public Affairs…
- Former ‘Squad’ member Cori Bush registers as foreign agent for ‘fact-finding missions’ in ‘West Bank’Cori Bush, a former far-left Missouri Democratic congresswoman and member of the “Squad,” registered last month under the Foreign Agents Registration Act to run “educational fact-finding missions to the West Bank” for a Belgian nonprofit…
- Black political awakening reshapes AmericaIn a historic political awakening, Black voters helped topple Republican incumbents, elect an unprecedented number of Black governors and put Hakeem Jeffries on the verge of becoming the first Black speaker of the U.S. House of…
- ‘Squad’ Alum Cori Bush Registers as Paid Foreign Agent, Will Lead Anti-Israel Propaganda Tours of West Bank for Shadowy NGOFormer Rep. Cori Bush (D., Mo.) has registered as a foreign agent for a shadowy European NGO to lead "fact-finding" missions to the West Bank—part of a seemingly elaborate propaganda campaign against Israel. The ex-Squad member, who once…
- Bell easily wins re-electionCongressman Wesley Bell is heading back to Washington D.C ST. LOUIS (First Alert 4) – Congressman Wesley Bell is heading back to Washington D.C. Bell, a Democrat, defeated Republican Paul Berry in the race for Missouri’s First…
- Missouri Republicans hold both chambers, lose one U.S. House seat in blue rippleThe blue wave seen elsewhere in the nation made a ripple in St. Louis on election night, shaking up the congressional delegation and chipping away at the Republican majority in the state Legislature. Democratic candidate Fred Wellman…
- Melissa Price-Smith wins race for St. Louis County ProsecutorMelissa Price-Smith has won her race to be the St. Louis County Prosecutor. CLAYTON, Mo. (First Alert 4) - Melissa Price-Smith has won her race to be the St. Louis County Prosecutor. Price-Smith was appointed to the position in January…
- Democrat Eugene Vindman wins reelection to U.S. House in Virginia's 7th Congressional DistrictRepublican Ed Gallrein wins election to U.S. House in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District - Democrat Mary Scanlon wins reelection to U.S. House in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District - Democrat Summer Lee wins reelection to U.S…
- Democrat Mary Scanlon wins reelection to U.S. House in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional DistrictRepublican Ed Gallrein wins election to U.S. House in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District - Democrat Mary Scanlon wins reelection to U.S. House in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District - Democrat Summer Lee wins reelection to U.S…
- Democrat Chris Coons wins reelection to U.S. Senate from DelawareDubois County Herald - Republican Ed Gallrein wins election to U.S. House in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District - Democrat Mary Scanlon wins reelection to U.S. House in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District - Democrat Summer Lee…
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
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Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions