MO-02 House election: Fred Wellman vote percent

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $3K traded · $2.5K at stake · prices read 76 min ago

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The odds

51.08%median
36%56%
Median 51.08%Middle half 50.44% – 51.72%

How the odds have moved

Median: 46.84% on Oct 19, 51.08% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 38% 92% 14¢ $1.09 44.00
At least 40% 92% 14¢ $1.09 25.00
At least 42% 92% 5¢ $1.09 410
At least 44% 92% 5¢ $1.09 336
At least 46% 92% 12¢ $1.09 538
At least 48% 92% 14¢ 99¢ $1.01 978
At least 50% 92% 3¢ 98¢ $1.02 723
At least 52% 14% 4¢ 22¢ $4.55 195
At least 54% 9% 2¢ 35¢ $2.86 539

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: MO- House, Fred Wellman

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  • Messenger: Fred Wellman ignored my advice. His instincts served him well.STLtoday.com · 5 days agoEvery few years, a friend of mine asks for my advice on whether they should run for political office. It’s happened three times. The last time came in July 2025. Fred Wellman delivers a victory speech after winning the race for the 2nd…
  • Congressman-elect Fred Wellman speaks about his plans once taking office@KMOV · 5 days agoOn Tuesday night, Fred Wellman defeated incumbent U.S. Representative Ann Wagner in Missouri’s Second Congressional District. ST. LOUIS, Mo. (First Alert 4) - On Tuesday night, Fred Wellman defeated incumbent U.S. Representative Ann Wagner…
  • Democrat Fred Wellman won in 'enemy territory.' Now he has to hold it.STLtoday.com · 5 days agoA political "blue wave," often mentioned but seldom seen, struck hard across the country Tuesday — and took longtime Missouri Congresswoman Ann Wagner with it. Riding a strong Democratic wave nationally, challenger Fred Wellman defeated…
  • Fred Wellman unseats Ann Wagner@KMOV · 6 days agoFred Wellman has defeated incumbent Ann Wagner in the race for Missouri’s Second Congressional District WEST ST. LOUIS COUNTY (First Alert 4) – Fred Wellman has defeated incumbent Ann Wagner in the race for Missouri’s Second Congressional…
  • Democrat Fred Wellman leads District 2 Republican incumbent Ann Wagner in early resultsSTLtoday.com · 6 days agoDemocratic challenger Fred Wellman was leading incumbent Republican Congresswoman Ann Wagner in early and absentee voting tallies Tuesday night. Wagner faces Democratic challenger Fred Wellman in the Nov. 3 general election, to see who…
  • Democrat Fred Wellman ousts Republican Ann Wagner in Missouri congressional upsetKRCG · 5 days agoby RUDI KELLER - Missouri Independent Republican lawmakers redrew Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District to make U.S. Rep. Ann Wagner’s seat safer. On Tuesday, Democrat Fred Wellman won it anyway. Wellman, a retired military officer, was…
  • Election Results: Ann Wagner loses U.S. House seat to challenger Fred WellmanWest Newsmagazine · 6 days agoUnofficial results for the Nov. 3 election are in, with several major upsets and very close races occurring throughout the state and St. Louis County. Incumbent U.S. Rep. Ann Wagner (R-District 2) faced challenger Fred Wellman (D), with…
  • Photos: St. Louis voters celebrate election night with Amendment 3 failing and Wellman defeating WagnerSTLtoday.com · 5 days agoMissouri voters rejected an effort to restore broad abortion restrictions Tuesday, while Democrat Fred Wellman unseated longtime Republican U.S. Rep. Ann Wagner in one of the St. Louis area's most closely watched congressional races…
  • Trump's toll shifts America left | Colorado Springs GazetteSTLtoday.com · 5 days agoSTLtoday.com Javascript is required to use this website. Democratic wins extended well beyond Congress, with five states flipping their governorships from red to blue. It was Donald Trump’s day, but not in a good way. People are also…
  • Your Wake-Up Call: Nov. 4, 2026@KMOV · 6 days agoST. LOUIS, Mo. (First Alert 4) - Here are your top morning headlines for Wednesday, Nov. 4, 2026: Fred Wellman unseats Ann Wagner Democrats win US House and Senate as voters deliver strong rebuke to Trump, Republicans Missouri voters…
  • RAW: MO: WELLMAN: NOW THE REAL WORK BEGINSLocal3News.com · 5 days agoLocal 3 News Showers in the Vicinity CNN projects Fred Wellman will win Missouri's 2nd district Man in hospital after firing multiple shots in Murphy Walmart parking lot, police say DECISION 2026: Local 3 tracks election results in TN & GA…
  • Missouri map shifts to 5-3 with defeat of Ann WagnerJoplin Globe · 6 days agoRepublican lawmakers redrew Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District to make U.S. Rep. Ann Wagner’s seat safer. On Tuesday, Democrat Fred Wellman won it anyway. - Download the Globe app to my phone or tablet Missouri map shifts to 5-3…

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