MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $10.1K traded · $6.1K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

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The odds

63.39%median
48%76%
Median 63.39%Middle half 60.2% – 65.57%

How the odds have moved

Median: 63.46% on Oct 20, 63.39% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 50% 95% 75¢ $1.05 1.6K
At least 52% 93% 98¢ $1.02 5.00
At least 54% 93% $1.08 732
At least 56% 93% $1.08 644
At least 58% 91% $1.10 7.8K
At least 60% 76% 2¢ 98¢ $1.02 205
At least 62% 66% $1.52 100
At least 66% 20% 91¢ $1.10 1.00
At least 68% 5% 98¢ $1.02 1.00
At least 72% 2% $50.00 5.00
At least 74% 2% $50.00 5.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: MO- House, Mark Alford

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  • Republican Mark Alford wins reelection in Missouri's 4th DistrictKCUR · 6 days agoIncumbent Republican Mark Alford handily beat his opponents to represent Missouri’s 4th Congressional District. The district includes central and western Missouri, as well as portions of the southern and eastern Kansas City metro. Missouri…
  • Republican Mark Alford keeps seat in CongressKOMU 8 · 6 days agoMostly cloudy with a few leftover showers possible. Lows in the upper 40s.. Republican Mark Alford won the midterm election against Democrat Jordan Herrera, keeping his seat in the United States House of Representatives for Missouri's 4th…
  • US Rep. Mark Alford to represent Missouri's 4th District after defeating Jordan HerreraKSHB 41 Kansas City News · 6 days agoKANSAS CITY, Mo. — Incumbent U.S. Rep. Mark Alford will represent Missouri's 4th Congressional District yet again after defeating Jordan Herrera in the Nov. 3 general election. The former TV anchor has represented Missouri's 4th District…
  • A night to rememberSedalia Democrat · 4 days agoPublished 6:22 pm Thursday, November 5, 2026 But the polls were right, and the eruption swept the country, including here in Missouri. But at least one of those five Republicans received many fewer votes this year than he did just two…
  • Missouri 2026 midterm election results: Key races and amendmentsKOMU 8 · 6 days agoCloudy. Highs in the upper 50s.. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the middle 40s. Missouri voters rejected a ban on most abortions, turning down a Republican-backed measure that would have repealed 2024 voter-approved protections. Missouri voters…
  • Missouri US House Race Election Results - November 3, 2026KMBC · 6 days agoAll results | All Missouri results | Missouri Amendments & Proposition | Missouri Amendment 3 | Missouri Amendment 6 | Missouri Proposition A | Missouri District 4 | Missouri District 5 | Missouri District 6 The Kansas City area is home to…
  • Missouri voters choose U.S. House representatives in western and southwest MissouriKOAM News Now · 6 days agoNovember 3, 2026 @ 1:49 pm (KOAM) -- Voters in western and southwest Missouri chose their representatives in the U.S. House on Tuesday, electing Mark Alford and Eric Burlison. The district includes parts of central and western Missouri and…
  • Rost Wins Webster County Commissioner Race as Voters Renew Road Sales TaxMarshfield Mail · 6 days agoPublished 10:27 am Wednesday, November 4, 2026 Webster County voters made their choices in Tuesday’s general election, giving Republican candidates strong support and approving the renewal of the county’s capital improvements sales tax for…
  • Missouri Democrat flips 2nd Congressional District seatKOMU 8 · 6 days agoCloudy. Highs in the upper 50s.. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the middle 40s. Democrat Fred Wellman defeated Republican incumbent Ann Wagner in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, flipping a seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Wellman…
  • Bell and Cleaver win reelection; Wellman unseats WagnerSt. Louis American · 6 days agoDemocratic U.S. Reps. Wesley Bell of St. Louis and Emanuel Cleaver of Kansas City won reelection Tuesday, while Democrat Fred Wellman defeated Republican incumbent Ann Wagner in Missouri’s closely watched 2nd Congressional District…
  • Alford wins U.S. House District 4 race in Missouri@kctv5 · 6 days agoKANSAS CITY, Mo. (KCTV) - Republican Congressman Mark Alford has won a third term representing Missouri’s U.S. House District 4 in the 2026 general election. Outrunning Democrat Jordan Herrera, Libertarian Thomas Holbrook, and independent…
  • Alexander, Baeza, Sergent & Schroeder winners on Election NightKSIS Radio 1050 AM · 6 days agoWith a 43.77 percent voter turnout, Election Day in Pettis County was kind to Republicans in all contested races Tuesday. Republican Israel Baeza won his race against Democrat Rene Vance in the contest for State Rep District 52, 6,037 –…

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