Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
MO-08 House election: Jason Smith vote percent
The odds
71.87%median
66%78%
Median 71.87%Middle half 70.53% – 73.2%
How the odds have moved
Median: 72.69% on Oct 20, 71.87% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 70% | 85% | $1.18 | 2.9K | |||
| At least 74% | 10% | $10.00 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MO- House, Jason Smith
Search ›- SVI Radio Interview: Jason Smith – South Lincoln Fire DistrictSVI-NEWS - SVI Radio Interview: Jason Smith – South Lincoln Fire District Jason Smith, President of the Board with the South Lincoln Fire District, called into the Weekday Wake-Up on Monday, November 2 to discuss Proposition 1 and his…
- Howell County splits with statewide voters on key ballot measures, sweeps GOP slatePublished 3:14 pm Friday, November 6, 2026 While Howell County voters swept Republican candidates into office by wide margins Tuesday, local ballots revealed a sharp contrast with the rest of Missouri on several high-profile constitutional…
- Montgomery County and Conroe approve agreement to share costs for courthouse rehab design plansThe Montgomery County Commissioners Court on Nov. 5 approved accepting a grant from the Texas Historical Commission to pay for the design of restoring the county's courthouse. The Conroe City Council and the commissioners court at separate…
- Bell and Cleaver win reelection; Wellman unseats WagnerDemocratic U.S. Reps. Wesley Bell of St. Louis and Emanuel Cleaver of Kansas City won reelection Tuesday, while Democrat Fred Wellman defeated Republican incumbent Ann Wagner in Missouri’s closely watched 2nd Congressional District…
- Missouri Democrat flips 2nd Congressional District seatCloudy. Highs in the upper 50s.. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the middle 40s. Democrat Fred Wellman defeated Republican incumbent Ann Wagner in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, flipping a seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Wellman…
- Ripley County voter turnout only 37.17% in general electionThe Ripley County Courthouse Annex was open for the public to watch as the votes came in on election night, Tuesday, Nov. 3. Pictured L-R: Matthew Menchhofer, Shawna Bushhorn, Monica Hansen, Jeff French, Rob Bradley, Brandi Brunner, Amber…
- Democrats rout Republicans; no muni champions lost in HouseThe historic blue wave predicted by the polls swept over the country Tuesday as Democrats won control of the 120th Congress by large margins and flipped governor seats in several Republican states. Municipal market lobbyists used the words…
- TRIB Plans Next Steps on Federal Retread LegislationThe Tire Retread & Repair Information Bureau (TRIB) is preparing for another year of federal advocacy as congressional support for retread legislation could shift after the November elections. At TRIB's annual membership meeting Nov. 2 in…
- ELECTION UPDATES: Democrat Suzanne Luther wins House District 60Democrat Suzanne Luther, a former member of the Jefferson City Board of Education, has won in Missouri's 60th House District, representing Jefferson City. Luther took 5,329 votes to Republican Shane Kampeter's 5,140 -- a difference of…
- ELECTION UPDATES: Bersknoetter to win Cole County presiding commissioner; Luther keeps lead in 60th DistrictRepublican Mike Bernskoetter is expected to win Cole County presiding commissioner. Bernskoetter had about 11,500 votes to independent Chuck Steck's approximately 7,100 with 20 of the county's 29 precincts reporting. Bernskoetter will take…
- Mike Friend cruises past Mery Lopez-Palma to keep HD 102 blueDemocrat Mike Friend has defeated Republican Mery Lopez-Palma in House District 102, extending his party’s hold on the Broward County seat. With all precincts at least partially reporting Tuesday evening, Friend had 60% of the vote to…
- Smith Helps Secure More Than $12.5 Million to Modernize Rural Health Care in Missouri’s 8th DistrictSmith Helps Secure More Than $12.5 Million to Modernize Rural Health Care in Missouriâs 8th District Ozark Radio News WASHINGTON, D.C. â The Trump Administration recently announced more than $12.5 million in federal investment to…
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All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
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36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
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Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions