Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
MT-02 House election: Brian Miller vote percent
The odds
36.26%median
28%40%
Median 36.26%Middle half 31.47% – 37.87%
How the odds have moved
Median: 36.26% on Oct 20, 36.26% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 30% | 89% | 2¢ | $1.12 | 1.8K | ||
| At least 32% | 70% | 98¢ | $1.02 | 805 | ||
| At least 36% | 54% | $1.85 | 200 | |||
| At least 38% | 23% | $4.35 | 2.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MT- House, Brian Miller
Search ›- Democrats poised to pick up 2 seats in MT House, Senate; GOP says it could’ve been worseRepublicans in the Montana Legislature weathered this week’s national blue wave, holding onto a majority in both chambers even as voters sent the state’s first Democrat to the U.S. House in 30 years, soundly rejected the party’s preferred…
- Updated election results show slimmer margin in MT house race🇺🇸 Election news from around the country READ MORE Race for Montana’s remains uncalled, Flint conceded Tuesday night Scenes from the a watch party for Sam Forstag, Democratic candidate for Montana’s western congressional district, for the…
- See how Americans celebrated Democrats’ historic sweepA historic blue wave swept over the country Tuesday night as voters elected Democrats to national, statewide and local offices, delivering a stunning rebuke to President Donald Trump and his party. See how Americans celebrated election…
- Armstrong Williams: The public’s confidence is…Opinion: The public’s confidence in elected leaders is a loan, writes Armstrong Williams. It must be repaid through service, competence and honesty. New ‘Dateline’ episode covers Baltimore murder that drew national attention Baltimore…
- MPRP impact on farmland is overblown | READER…Reader commentary: Letter writer Curt Rasmussen questions opposition to the MPRP, saying the benefits outweigh the costs. New ‘Dateline’ episode covers Baltimore murder that drew national attention Baltimore sends residents overdue notices…
- Baltimore County Council races tighten as…Updated election results show three Baltimore County Council races continuing to tighten as mail-in ballots are processed and counted. New ‘Dateline’ episode covers Baltimore murder that drew national attention Baltimore sends residents…
- Intimidation of Jewish-owned restaurants is not protest | EDITORIALEditorial: Activists plan to target six Jewish- and Israeli-owned restaurants in Philadelphia on the eve of Kristallnacht. That crosses a line from protest to collective punishment. New ‘Dateline’ episode covers Baltimore murder that drew…
- No. 5 CMW boys soccer rolls past Century, 5-1, in 2A state quarterfinalsBaltimore Sun New ‘Dateline’ episode covers Baltimore murder that drew national attention Larry Hogan says he has no obligation to help Maryland GOP if members won’t listen Tied up, hot syrup: Elkton pair allegedly tortured 81-year-old man…
- Has Maryland GOP learned from midterms? | READER COMMENTARYBaltimore Sun New ‘Dateline’ episode covers Baltimore murder that drew national attention Larry Hogan says he has no obligation to help Maryland GOP if members won’t listen Tied up, hot syrup: Elkton pair allegedly tortured 81-year-old man…
- America showed democracy works | READER COMMENTARYReader commentary: Voters sent a message to authoritarians around the world that democracy works and Americans still have faith in the Constitution, writes Usha Nellore. New ‘Dateline’ episode covers Baltimore murder that drew national…
- South River field hockey outlasts Westminster,…South River field hockey weathered a physical battle against Westminster to advance to the Class 3A state semifinals. New ‘Dateline’ episode covers Baltimore murder that drew national attention Larry Hogan says he has no obligation to help…
- Maryland landowners taking fight against MPRP to US Supreme CourtMaryland landowners taking fight against MPRP to U.S. Supreme Court Baltimore Sun Larry Hogan says he has no obligation to help Maryland GOP if members won’t listen Tied up, hot syrup: Elkton pair allegedly tortured 81-year-old man during…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions