Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
MT-02 House election: Troy Downing vote percent
The odds
58.91%median
52%68%
Median 58.91%Middle half 56.52% – 61.92%
How the odds have moved
Median: 58.91% on Oct 20, 58.91% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 89% | $1.12 | 1.1K | |||
| At least 56% | 82% | $1.22 | 878 | |||
| At least 58% | 55% | $1.82 | 488 | |||
| At least 60% | 44% | $2.27 | 3.0K | |||
| At least 64% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | 405 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MT- House, Troy Downing
Search ›- Photos: A trip to Yellowtail DamRepresentative Troy Downing is pictured at Yellowtail Market on Friday, Oct. 30. Crow Chairman Frank White Clay is pictured at Yellowtail Market on Friday, Oct. 30. The Yellowtail Dam is pictured on Friday, Oct. 30. Representative Troy…
- New federal law aims to expand clean water access across Crow ReservationFORT SMITH — A new federal law gives the Crow Tribe more flexibility to develop water infrastructure and move forward with long-delayed projects to improve access to clean, reliable water across the reservation. President Donald Trump…
- GOP Rep Troy Downing Hastily Posts PSA After He Appears To Violate Basic Firearms Safety RuleA Republican congressman posted a video Sunday explaining how a break-action shotgun works after he was accused of violating a basic rule of firearms safety. “Since some folks are confused, here’s a quick firearm PSA! As a combat veteran…
- Rep. Miller Leads 44 Members in Letter Calling for Citizenship-Only Census Count for Congressional ApportionmentWASHINGTON, D.C. — Today, Congresswoman Mary Miller (IL-15) led 44 Members of Congress in a letter to the U.S. Rep. Miller Leads 44 Members in Letter Calling for Citizenship-Only Census Count for Congressional Apportionment WASHINGTON…
- How Trump’s diesel play with Russia is playing in MontanaMontana’s congressional delegation and candidates are offering differing views on President Donald Trump’s moves to ease sanctions against Russia, including an arrangement allowing Russian diesel onto the global market. Since mid-October…
- Montana joins federal fast-track permitting program as concerns grow over proposed Broadview data centerMontana has joined a federal program aimed at speeding up permitting for qualifying projects, raising questions about whether it could fast-forward the proposed Broadview data center. Watch FAST-41 story here: Gov. Greg Gianforte announced…
- Diesel, Ukraine and Putin under congressional considerationMontana’s congressional delegation and candidates are offering differing views on President Donald Trump’s moves to ease sanctions against Russia, including an arrangement allowing Russian diesel onto the global market. Since mid-October…
- Montana will have low congressional seniority in 2027HELENA — We still don’t know who Montana voters will be sending to represent them in Congress this election, but one thing we do know is that at least two of them will be newcomers. That means, in 2027, Montana will be low on the list when…
- Democrat Sam Forstag outraises Republican Aaron Flint in western US House districtAs the 2026 election cycle nears its close, campaign spending continues to heat up in Montana’s competitive races. Campaign finance filings through Oct. 14 show Democrat Sam Forstag with a lead in both total fundraising and cash on hand…
- RAW: MT: HOUSE SPEAKER JOHNSON IN MT/RURAL HEALTHCARELocal 3 News House Speaker Mike Johnson brings national spotlight to Montana GOP races Live cockroaches, spoiled food and glove-changing lead this week's violations Woman killed after being struck by vehicle in Chattanooga; police…
- Trump Rally in Kalispell, Montana: Voices from the lineThe rally was one of several late campaign stops ahead of the 2026 midterm election, held in a county where about 65% of voters backed Trump in 2024. Republican Aaron Flint, who is facing Democrat Sam Forstag in a western Montana…
- Trump stumps for Montana delegation: President talks wildlife gaining weight, handsome guys, ‘Dumbocrat’ competition and 'rigged' electionsPresident Donald Trump made an appearance in Kalispell last Wednesday to stump for candidates running as Republican for the Montana congressional seats on the mid-term ballot. KALISPELL — “USA, USA, USA!” President Donald Trump’s Kalispell…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions