Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
NC-12 House election: Jack Codiga vote percent
The odds
50%At least 22%
14%24%
How the odds have moved
At least 16%: 98% on Oct 20, 87% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Nov 3, 9 PM ETAt least 16%: 97% → 87%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 16% | 87% | 75¢ | $1.15 | 701 | ||
| At least 18% | 62% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 6.2K | ||
| At least 20% | 62% | 96¢ | $1.04 | 405 | ||
| At least 22% | 50% | $2.00 | 297 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NC- House, Jack Codiga
Search ›- NRCC chair Richard Hudson loses NC House seat — flipping district blue for first time in 60 yearsFollow for live updates on the 2026 Midterm Elections Rep. Richard Hudson (R-NC), chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee since 2023, lost by about 6,000 votes, with all precincts counted. Hudson had already conceded…
- NC House District 9 race still too close to callWITN NC House District 9 race still too close to call Farmville mayor demands retraction over claims in Washington library resolution Whitakers man arrested after alleged assault on town employees, police says State transportation board…
- With Democrats controlling NC House, Charlotte is optimistic about getting city’s priorities passedWSOC TV Man recovers after power line shock stops heart during light installation Fatal hit-and-run prompts new traffic safety plans in east Charlotte More immigrant families are turning to a Charlotte nonprofit for help Heavy rains flood…
- Alma Adams Wins Sixth Term in NC's 12th District, Routs GOP's Jack CodigaAdams is no newcomer to North Carolina politics. The North State Journal's report lays out a career that stretches back decades: she represented Guilford County in the North Carolina House from 1994 to 2014 before first winning a seat in…
- Reives secures majority support to become next NC House speakerNorth Carolina House Democratic Leader Robert Reives announced Friday that he had secured commitments from a majority of the members projected to serve in the incoming 120-member House to become the chamber’s next speaker. According to a…
- Breaking down the new balance of power in the 2026 NC House, Senatewfmynews2.com Breaking down the new balance of power in the 2026 NC House, Senate To stream WFMY News 2 on your phone, you need the WFMY News 2 app. Download the WFMY News 2 app Next up in 5 Example video title will go here for this video…
- Janene Ackles calls her NC House 43 win surreal. Here's what comes nextDemocrat Janene Ackles unseated Republican incumbent Diane Wheatley in the race for North Carolina House District 43, a victory Ackles described as surreal. This is the second time Ackles has faced Wheatley. In 2024, Wheatley won…
- NC House, Senate majorities take shape as close races remain unresolvedDemocrats are projected to take control of the North Carolina House of Representatives for the first time since 2010, while Republicans are narrowly positioned to retain their majority in the state Senate following Tuesday’s general…
- Carver flips NC House District 109, unseating Republican LoftisDemocrat Mark Carver defeated Republican state Rep. Donnie Loftis in North Carolina House District 109 on Tuesday, flipping a Gaston County seat that Republicans won by a substantial margin just two years earlier. According to unofficial…
- Reives secures support to become NC House SpeakerHouse Democratic leader Robert Reives is expected to become House Speaker Robert Reives when his party takes control of the North Carolina House of Representatives next year. Reives, D-Chatham, said Friday that he had secured commitments…
- In Depth: Congress, NC House flips Democrat. What happens next?WRAL In Depth: Congress, NC House flips Democrat. What happens next?
- NC House Candidate Shelly Headen Loses Party BackingHouse Speaker Destin Hall said the posts should disqualify Headen from office, arguing that calling for violence against political opponents is inappropriate for service in the General Assembly. Hall added that Headen has a First Amendment…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions