Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
NJ-04 House election: Rachel Peace vote percent
The odds
38.96%median
30%46%
Median 38.96%Middle half 35.86% – 40%
How the odds have moved
Median: 36.29% on Oct 19, 38.96% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 32% | 98% | 96¢ | $1.02 | 643 | ||
| At least 34% | 88% | $1.14 | 200 | |||
| At least 36% | 74% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 200 | ||
| At least 38% | 73% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.0K | ||
| At least 40% | 25% | 99¢ | $1.01 | |||
| At least 42% | 2% | $50.00 | 10.00 | |||
| At least 44% | 2% | $50.00 | 510 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NJ- House, Rachel Peace
Search ›- NJ Democrats won big on Election Day. Here’s how they didNew Jersey Democrats had a great Election Day, in case you haven't already heard. They won two GOP-held House seats and won all nine of their own, leaving just one Republican representing New Jersey in the House of Representatives when…
- NJ News Update - November 4, 2026NJ News Update – November 4, 2026 On New Jersey NJ News Update – November 4, 2026 U.S. Senator Cory Booker won his third term in a landslide victory over Republican candidate Justin Murphy. Booker has served in the position since 2013…
- Amy Quinn wins Asbury Park mayor’s race as LGBTQ+ candidates make history nationwideAmy Quinn will become Asbury Park’s next mayor after defeating Planning Board member Dan Sciannameo in Tuesday’s election, as LGBTQ+ candidates made history in races across the country. Quinn, the city’s deputy mayor, will succeed Mayor…
- Eyewitness News at 6am - November 4, 2026ABC7 New York Eyewitness News at 6am - November 4, 2026 Conley, Bennett score key wins in NY, NJ House races 24-year-old runner dies after collapsing during NYC Marathon Mother calls for justice after Brooklyn jogger dies after stabbing…
- Eyewitness News at 5am - November 4, 2026ABC7 New York Eyewitness News at 5am - November 4, 2026 Conley, Bennett score key wins in NY, NJ House races 24-year-old runner dies after collapsing during NYC Marathon Mother calls for justice after Brooklyn jogger dies after stabbing…
- Eyewitness News at 4:30am - November 4, 2026ABC7 New York Eyewitness News at 4:30am - November 4, 2026 Conley, Bennett score key wins in NY, NJ House races 24-year-old runner dies after collapsing during NYC Marathon Mother calls for justice after Brooklyn jogger dies after stabbing…
- Winner Declared In NJ 4th District Congressional Race: APUpdated, 9:30 p.m. Tuesday Smith was leading Democratic challenger Rachel Peace 143,360 to 101,136 with 85 percent of the precincts counted, according to the AP. It will be the 24th term in the House for Smith, 73, who began serving in…
- NJ-4 Stays Red With Smith As Ocean County Democrats Sit QuietAs Democrats across the country were celebrating victories in what had been Republican strongholds, flipping U.S. Senate races in southern states and winning governorships in Texas and Georgia, Chris Smith was quietly recording another…
- Midterm elections : New Jersey Blue waveSUMMIT, NJ (PIX11) -- A tough election night for New Jersey republicans, as democrats break through in two closely watched congressional races. Rebecca Bennett celebrated with supporters Tuesday night, promising to put families first. Her…
- Democratic Chairman Jones: 'It's Time to Finish the Job'If you’re reading this then I know you are aware that polls open in less than 24 hours. In fact, based on the overwhelming numbers pouring in for Democrats on Vote By Mail returns and Early Voting over the last week, you may be reading…
- Local, County, Federal Offices to Be Decided Nov. 3In the Nov. 3 general election, voters will decide federal, Monmouth County government and municipal and school board races. Additionally, Monmouth County government races include the office of county surrogate and two county commissioner…
- NJ's 4th District Congressional Race: Smith Vs. PeaceVoters in New Jersey's 4th Congressional District are being asked to choose between long-time incumbent Republican Chris Smith and Democrat Rachel Peace. Smith, 73, is seeking his 24th term in the House of Representatives, where he began…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions