Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
NJ-10 House election: LaMonica McIver vote percent
The odds
80.4%median
74%90%
Median 80.4%Middle half 78.08% – 84.59%
How the odds have moved
Median: 80.4% on Oct 20, 80.4% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 76% | 79% | $1.27 | 400 | |||
| At least 78% | 76% | $1.32 | 205 | |||
| At least 80% | 52% | $1.92 | 1.1K | |||
| At least 82% | 42% | $2.38 | 1.1K | |||
| At least 84% | 30% | $3.33 | 620 | |||
| At least 86% | 13% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.1K | ||
| At least 88% | 13% | $7.69 | 210 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NJ- House, LaMonica McIver
Search ›- Indicted NJ Dem LaMonica McIver wins re-election bid despite ongoing ICE caseDemocrat Rep. LaMonica McIver cruised to a second full term representing New Jersey’s 10th Congressional District Tuesday, despite facing federal criminal charges over a confrontation with immigration officers last year — and giving birth…
- Democrat LaMonica McIver wins reelection to U.S. House in New Jersey's 10th Congressional DistrictNewsday LI Votes 2026: Live coverage Follow along for results and live analysis as the results come in for governor, Congress and local races.
- LaMonica McIver re-elected by defeating Carmen Bucco for the third timeMcIver fought a federal indictment and gave birth in addition to running for re-election By Jonathan D. Salant, November 03 2026 8:01 pm Rep. LaMonica McIver, under indictment following an altercation at the Delaney Hall immigrant…
- Blue wave leaves just 1 New Jersey Republican in the HouseNovember 4, 2026 / 5:38 PM EST / CBS New York In New Jersey, only one Republican was able to keep his seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. The 11 other representatives and two senators are all Democrats. Wednesday, a political…
- Why Democrats Are Chimping Out Over Stephen MillerWhen President Donald Trump promoted Stephen Miller to White House chief of staff, Democrats started fuming almost instantly. That reaction alone tells you it was a good move. I suspect Democrats thought the fallout from the midterms would…
- 'Call the police, I'm gonna kill you': A bunch of Democrat alleged criminals have just been electedDemocrats voted for at least one convict in the midterm elections. Among the Democrats voted into office on Tuesday are a handful of radicals facing criminal charges and at least one convicted felon. Lakesha Womack, a black identitarian…
- Democrats Explode, Pledge Lawfare Against Stephen Miller After PromotionSeveral Democrats exploded after President Donald Trump announced that White House Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller would be taking over as White House chief of staff, and they vowed lawfare against Miller. California Gov. Gavin Newsom…
- NJ Democrats won big on Election Day. Here’s how they didNew Jersey Democrats had a great Election Day, in case you haven't already heard. They won two GOP-held House seats and won all nine of their own, leaving just one Republican representing New Jersey in the House of Representatives when…
- MontClairVoyant:'Star-Trek'-Themed Election Column? Make It So!You’re about to discuss local election results, but this question first: Wasn’t it thrilling that Democrats won the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate over a bunch of Trump-toady Republicans? Yes! Voters around the country were furious that…
- New Jersey Democrats lay out ‘mandate’ agenda for next two yearsNov 4, 2026, 6:09 PM Elected New Jersey congressional Democrats took their victory lap in Newark on Wednesday and laid out their agenda for the next two years. Surrounded by their union supporters, they called for the end of Immigration…
- NEW JERSEY DEMOCRATS TO TRUMP: VOTERS HAVE HAD ENOUGH, AND WE’RE READY TO FIGHT BACK.Insider NJ NEW JERSEY DEMOCRATS TO TRUMP: VOTERS HAVE HAD ENOUGH, AND WE’RE READY TO FIGHT BACK. NEW JERSEY – Following Tuesday's landside election, New Jersey Governor Mikie Sherrill; U.S. Senators Cory Booker and Andy Kim; U.S…
- ‘Tell-It-Like-It-Is Organizer’ Rep. Analilia Mejia Celebrates District 11 VictoryU.S. Rep. Analilia Mejia, a progressive community organizer, won a full term in the House of Representatives, defeating Republican Randolph Councilman Joe Hathaway on Tuesday. With 86% of the votes counted, Mejia had 159,237 votes (60.7%)…
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
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Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
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Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions