Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
NV-02 House election: Teresa Benitez-Thompson vote percent
The odds
50.31%median
36%54%
Median 50.31%Middle half 49.14% – 51.17%
How the odds have moved
Median: 47.08% on Oct 20, 50.31% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 99% | 5¢ | $1.01 | 216 | ||
| At least 40% | 96% | 3¢ | $1.04 | 402 | ||
| At least 42% | 96% | $1.04 | 686 | |||
| At least 44% | 96% | 8¢ | $1.04 | 7.7K | ||
| At least 46% | 96% | 2¢ | $1.04 | 7.3K | ||
| At least 48% | 96% | $1.04 | 662 | |||
| At least 50% | 59% | $1.69 | 80.00 | |||
| At least 52% | 1% | $100.00 | 14.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NV- House, Teresa Benitez-Thompson
Search ›- Reproductive Freedom for All Celebrates as Teresa Benitez-Thompson Flips Nevada’s 2nd Congressional DistrictWe're pulling out all the stops to ensure voters get out and vote for reproductive freedom candidates up and down the ballot, and we want you with us! The key races we're invested in between now and November 3 to win back a reproductive…
- Teresa Benitez-Thompson flips Northern Nevada House seat for first time in blue waveTeresa Benitez-Thompson became the first Democrat ever to win Northern Nevada's 2nd Congressional District as a nationwide blue wave slammed into Nevada. The social worker, former pageant queen and former Assembly majority leader defeated…
- Washoe County GOP chair asks FBI to investigate Teresa Benitez-ThompsonRENO, Nev. (KOLO) - Washoe County GOP Party Chair Bruce Parks has filed a request with the FBI for an investigation into Nevada Congressional District 2 candidate Teresa Benitez Thompson. Parks said there may have been conflicts of…
- Students Voice Affordability and Employment Concerns in Town HallTeresa Benitez-Thompson (right) joined with Young Democrats UNR chapter President Rose Barber (left) at the Wells Fargo Auditorium for a town hall on Monday, Oct. 26. (Alonzo Rodriguez/The Nevada Sagebrush) Nevada Congressional District 2…
- Benitez-Thompson leads Flippo in race to replace Congressman Mark AmodeiIn the race to replace retiring U.S. Rep. Mark Amodei, R-Carson City, Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson has a 15,000-vote lead in the sprawling rural second congressional district. Benitez-Thompson has 144,014 votes to Republican David…
- 'One of the biggest upsets in history' flagged as seat never held by Dem goes blueDemocrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson won Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, flipping a northern Nevada seat that has never been held by a Democrat, according to a race call by The Nevada Independent. “One of the biggest upsets in Nevada…
- CD2 House race could spell problems for RepublicansThe competitiveness of the House race in northern Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District has forced Republicans to spend resources that could be helping other candidates. Republican David Flippo is running for Nevada's 2nd Congressional…
- Democrats sweep races for Nevada statewide officesLAS VEGAS (FOX5) — Democrats in Nevada are reporting wins across multiple statewide offices Wednesday morning as multiple local races remain uncalled. Nevada’s election results come as Democrats across the country report big wins in…
- Nevada Democrats close in on legislative supermajorityWednesday, Nov. 4, 2026 | 10:45 a.m. Democrats swept Nevada in Tuesday’s midterm elections, ousting Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo, winning all six constitutional offices, taking all four U.S. House seats and appearing poised to expand their…
- Benitez-Thompson projected to win Nevada’s 2nd District — The HillDemocrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson is projected by Decision Desk HQ to defeat Republican David Flippo in the election for the U.S. House of Representatives in Nevada’s 2nd District. She is set to take the seat of Republican Mark Amodei, who…
- Nevada live results: 2026 House electionsThere is one open House seat up for grabs in Nevada on Tuesday, with Rep. Mark Amodei (R) opting to retire from Congress. Republican David Flippo, a financial adviser and former Air Force lieutenant colonel, is running for the seat in the…
- Titus, Lee and Horsford projected to win reelection as Democrats take the HouseWednesday, Nov. 4, 2026 | 12:39 a.m. Democratic U.S. Reps. Dina Titus, Susie Lee and Steven Horsford were projected to win reelection early this morning, holding all three Southern Nevada House seats on a night when Democrats were…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions